Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C for Wuhan on September 14, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy conditions limiting nocturnal cooling. Recent model runs show minimal shifts overnight, with dew points around 18–20°C supporting this range amid typical early-autumn humidity. Historical September lows in the region average near 20°C, but current steering patterns favor warmer overnight readings. Upcoming 12–18Z model updates and local observations will refine resolution thresholds around the 23–24°C band, where market-implied odds cluster tightly amid genuine forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日武汉最低气温?
18°C或以下 100%
21°C 40%
22°C 22%
20°C 18%
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
9%
20°C
18%
21°C
40%
22°C
22%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
18°C或以下 100%
21°C 40%
22°C 22%
20°C 18%
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
9%
20°C
18%
21°C
40%
22°C
22%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C for Wuhan on September 14, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy conditions limiting nocturnal cooling. Recent model runs show minimal shifts overnight, with dew points around 18–20°C supporting this range amid typical early-autumn humidity. Historical September lows in the region average near 20°C, but current steering patterns favor warmer overnight readings. Upcoming 12–18Z model updates and local observations will refine resolution thresholds around the 23–24°C band, where market-implied odds cluster tightly amid genuine forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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