Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on September 15 point to a daytime maximum of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moderate advection of milder maritime air tempers diurnal rise, consistent with mid-September climatology near 19–20°C. Model differences in cloud thickness and any partial clearing introduce the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given stable pressure and minimal frontal activity. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙9月15日最高气温？
华沙9月15日最高气温？
20°C 39%
19°C 29%
18°C 14%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
15°C或以下
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
14%
19°C
29%
20°C
39%
21°C
9%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
1%
20°C 39%
19°C 29%
18°C 14%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
15°C或以下
$10 交易量
4%
16°C
$10 交易量
4%
17°C
$0 交易量
7%
18°C
$0 交易量
14%
19°C
$0 交易量
29%
20°C
$26 交易量
39%
21°C
$32 交易量
9%
22°C
$20 交易量
5%
23°C
$18 交易量
3%
24°C
$10 交易量
1%
25°C或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on September 15 point to a daytime maximum of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moderate advection of milder maritime air tempers diurnal rise, consistent with mid-September climatology near 19–20°C. Model differences in cloud thickness and any partial clearing introduce the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given stable pressure and minimal frontal activity. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
交易量
$136结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on September 15 point to a daytime maximum of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moderate advection of milder maritime air tempers diurnal rise, consistent with mid-September climatology near 19–20°C. Model differences in cloud thickness and any partial clearing introduce the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given stable pressure and minimal frontal activity. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$136结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on September 15 point to a daytime maximum of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moderate advection of milder maritime air tempers diurnal rise, consistent with mid-September climatology near 19–20°C. Model differences in cloud thickness and any partial clearing introduce the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given stable pressure and minimal frontal activity. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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