**Trader consensus strongly favors 21°C as the lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 16, 2026, at 95% implied probability.** Multiple official and model-based forecasts from sources like Chinese meteorological services and international providers (e.g., Yr, local weather platforms) consistently project a daily minimum near 21–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate northeast winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Current observations show afternoon highs around 25–28°C with humidity near 50–65% and no strong cold-air advection, aligning with typical mid-September conditions in the Yangtze River valley during the transition from summer monsoon influence. This positioning reflects aggregated real-money assessments of ensemble model runs and official guidance, where the narrow temperature range around 21°C fits observed trends and short-term stability. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected overnight drop from clearer skies or an unforecasted frontal passage, though current data and model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日武汉最低气温？
9月16日武汉最低气温？
21°C 99.5%
19°C 10%
17℃或以下 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
$1,192 交易量
$1,192 交易量
2026-09-16
17℃或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或更高
否
21°C 99.5%
19°C 10%
17℃或以下 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
$1,192 交易量
$1,192 交易量
2026-09-16
17℃或以下
$300 交易量
否
18°C
$178 交易量
否
19°C
$125 交易量
否
20°C
$52 交易量
否
21°C
$263 交易量
是
22°C
$66 交易量
否
23°C
$146 交易量
否
24°C
$10 交易量
否
25°C
$21 交易量
否
26°C
$16 交易量
否
27°C或更高
$16 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 21°C as the lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 16, 2026, at 95% implied probability.** Multiple official and model-based forecasts from sources like Chinese meteorological services and international providers (e.g., Yr, local weather platforms) consistently project a daily minimum near 21–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate northeast winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Current observations show afternoon highs around 25–28°C with humidity near 50–65% and no strong cold-air advection, aligning with typical mid-September conditions in the Yangtze River valley during the transition from summer monsoon influence.
This positioning reflects aggregated real-money assessments of ensemble model runs and official guidance, where the narrow temperature range around 21°C fits observed trends and short-term stability. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected overnight drop from clearer skies or an unforecasted frontal passage, though current data and model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,192结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 21°C as the lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 16, 2026, at 95% implied probability.** Multiple official and model-based forecasts from sources like Chinese meteorological services and international providers (e.g., Yr, local weather platforms) consistently project a daily minimum near 21–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate northeast winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Current observations show afternoon highs around 25–28°C with humidity near 50–65% and no strong cold-air advection, aligning with typical mid-September conditions in the Yangtze River valley during the transition from summer monsoon influence.
This positioning reflects aggregated real-money assessments of ensemble model runs and official guidance, where the narrow temperature range around 21°C fits observed trends and short-term stability. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected overnight drop from clearer skies or an unforecasted frontal passage, though current data and model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,192结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus strongly favors 21°C as the lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 16, 2026, at 95% implied probability.** Multiple official and model-based forecasts from sources like Chinese meteorological services and international providers (e.g., Yr, local weather platforms) consistently project a daily minimum near 21–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate northeast winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Current observations show afternoon highs around 25–28°C with humidity near 50–65% and no strong cold-air advection, aligning with typical mid-September conditions in the Yangtze River valley during the transition from summer monsoon influence. This positioning reflects aggregated real-money assessments of ensemble model runs and official guidance, where the narrow temperature range around 21°C fits observed trends and short-term stability. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected overnight drop from clearer skies or an unforecasted frontal passage, though current data and model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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