Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the dominant factor, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 11 projecting a 25–31 °C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of 4–5. This setup favors afternoon maxima near the upper end of the range as reduced cloud cover and lower humidity allow greater solar heating. Supplementary guidance from other models shows highs of 31–33 °C, consistent with trader emphasis on 32 °C (36.5 % implied probability) over 31 °C or 30 °C. A developing broad low-pressure area over the South China Sea is expected later in the week but has limited influence by Friday, while the monthly outlook for normal-to-above-normal September temperatures provides broader context for elevated readings relative to climatology.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日香港气温最高？
9月11日香港气温最高？
31°C 37%
32°C 37%
30°C 20%
33°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
20%
31°C
27%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C或更高
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 37%
30°C 20%
33°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
26°C或以下
$167 交易量
<1%
27°C
$13 交易量
<1%
28°C
$6 交易量
3%
29°C
$27 交易量
3%
30°C
$83 交易量
20%
31°C
$5 交易量
27%
32°C
$298 交易量
37%
33°C
$59 交易量
19%
34°C
$25 交易量
3%
35°C
$0 交易量
5%
36°C或更高
$117 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the dominant factor, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 11 projecting a 25–31 °C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of 4–5. This setup favors afternoon maxima near the upper end of the range as reduced cloud cover and lower humidity allow greater solar heating. Supplementary guidance from other models shows highs of 31–33 °C, consistent with trader emphasis on 32 °C (36.5 % implied probability) over 31 °C or 30 °C. A developing broad low-pressure area over the South China Sea is expected later in the week but has limited influence by Friday, while the monthly outlook for normal-to-above-normal September temperatures provides broader context for elevated readings relative to climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$800结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the dominant factor, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 11 projecting a 25–31 °C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of 4–5. This setup favors afternoon maxima near the upper end of the range as reduced cloud cover and lower humidity allow greater solar heating. Supplementary guidance from other models shows highs of 31–33 °C, consistent with trader emphasis on 32 °C (36.5 % implied probability) over 31 °C or 30 °C. A developing broad low-pressure area over the South China Sea is expected later in the week but has limited influence by Friday, while the monthly outlook for normal-to-above-normal September temperatures provides broader context for elevated readings relative to climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$800结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNortheast monsoon flow over southern China is the dominant factor, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 11 projecting a 25–31 °C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of 4–5. This setup favors afternoon maxima near the upper end of the range as reduced cloud cover and lower humidity allow greater solar heating. Supplementary guidance from other models shows highs of 31–33 °C, consistent with trader emphasis on 32 °C (36.5 % implied probability) over 31 °C or 30 °C. A developing broad low-pressure area over the South China Sea is expected later in the week but has limited influence by Friday, while the monthly outlook for normal-to-above-normal September temperatures provides broader context for elevated readings relative to climatology.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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