**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日香港最低气温？
9月11日香港最低气温？
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$38,417 交易量
$38,417 交易量
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$38,417 交易量
$38,417 交易量
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
$1,045 交易量
否
22°C
$1,050 交易量
否
23°C
$2,591 交易量
否
24°C
$5,713 交易量
否
25°C
$9,928 交易量
是
26°C
$5,804 交易量
否
27°C
$8,915 交易量
否
28°C
$3,103 交易量
否
29°C
$86 交易量
否
30°C
$96 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$86 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold.
Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$38,417结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold.
Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$38,417结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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