**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C for September 16, 2026, under the influence of a northeast monsoon bringing generally fine, dry conditions with light to moderate easterly winds.** This aligns with observed overnight temperatures stabilizing near 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation probability. Historical September baselines for Hong Kong typically feature overnight lows in the mid- to upper-20s°C during similar monsoon patterns, supporting the strong market consensus at 91.5% implied probability for 27°C. Realistic challenges include localized convective activity or a temporary wind shift that could allow slightly cooler readings, though current model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions make significant deviation unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日香港最低气温？
9月16日香港最低气温？
27°C 92%
26°C 9%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
$12,990 交易量
$12,990 交易量
2026-09-16
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
92%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 92%
26°C 9%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
$12,990 交易量
$12,990 交易量
2026-09-16
21°C或以下
$188 交易量
<1%
22°C
$188 交易量
<1%
23°C
$115 交易量
2%
24°C
$613 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,232 交易量
2%
26°C
$2,992 交易量
9%
27°C
$3,667 交易量
92%
28°C
$1,623 交易量
<1%
29°C
$28 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,172 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$1,172 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C for September 16, 2026, under the influence of a northeast monsoon bringing generally fine, dry conditions with light to moderate easterly winds.** This aligns with observed overnight temperatures stabilizing near 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation probability. Historical September baselines for Hong Kong typically feature overnight lows in the mid- to upper-20s°C during similar monsoon patterns, supporting the strong market consensus at 91.5% implied probability for 27°C.
Realistic challenges include localized convective activity or a temporary wind shift that could allow slightly cooler readings, though current model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions make significant deviation unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,990结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C for September 16, 2026, under the influence of a northeast monsoon bringing generally fine, dry conditions with light to moderate easterly winds.** This aligns with observed overnight temperatures stabilizing near 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation probability. Historical September baselines for Hong Kong typically feature overnight lows in the mid- to upper-20s°C during similar monsoon patterns, supporting the strong market consensus at 91.5% implied probability for 27°C.
Realistic challenges include localized convective activity or a temporary wind shift that could allow slightly cooler readings, though current model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions make significant deviation unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,990结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C for September 16, 2026, under the influence of a northeast monsoon bringing generally fine, dry conditions with light to moderate easterly winds.** This aligns with observed overnight temperatures stabilizing near 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation probability. Historical September baselines for Hong Kong typically feature overnight lows in the mid- to upper-20s°C during similar monsoon patterns, supporting the strong market consensus at 91.5% implied probability for 27°C. Realistic challenges include localized convective activity or a temporary wind shift that could allow slightly cooler readings, though current model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions make significant deviation unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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