**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 18, with 26°C holding a 55% implied probability and 27°C at 37%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models indicate clear, dry conditions under the influence of the northeast monsoon and high pressure, producing overnight lows near 26–27°C and daytime highs around 31–32°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity support minimal overnight cooling, consistent with recent observations where minima have hovered in this range. No incoming weather systems or significant model divergences suggest deviations, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of the daily minimum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日香港最低气温？
9月18日香港最低气温？
26°C 61%
27°C 33%
25°C 5%
23°C 3%
最新
$10,556 交易量
最新
$10,556 交易量
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
61%
27°C
33%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
1%
26°C 61%
27°C 33%
25°C 5%
23°C 3%
最新
$10,556 交易量
最新
$10,556 交易量
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
$71 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
3%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$589 交易量
5%
26°C
$4,333 交易量
61%
27°C
$2,259 交易量
33%
28°C
$877 交易量
1%
29°C
$53 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,187 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$1,187 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 18, with 26°C holding a 55% implied probability and 27°C at 37%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models indicate clear, dry conditions under the influence of the northeast monsoon and high pressure, producing overnight lows near 26–27°C and daytime highs around 31–32°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity support minimal overnight cooling, consistent with recent observations where minima have hovered in this range. No incoming weather systems or significant model divergences suggest deviations, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10,556结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 18, with 26°C holding a 55% implied probability and 27°C at 37%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models indicate clear, dry conditions under the influence of the northeast monsoon and high pressure, producing overnight lows near 26–27°C and daytime highs around 31–32°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity support minimal overnight cooling, consistent with recent observations where minima have hovered in this range. No incoming weather systems or significant model divergences suggest deviations, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,556结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 18, with 26°C holding a 55% implied probability and 27°C at 37%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models indicate clear, dry conditions under the influence of the northeast monsoon and high pressure, producing overnight lows near 26–27°C and daytime highs around 31–32°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity support minimal overnight cooling, consistent with recent observations where minima have hovered in this range. No incoming weather systems or significant model divergences suggest deviations, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of the daily minimum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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