Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, YR.no, and GFS-based models indicate a minimum temperature in the Incheon area on September 15 around 15–17°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling overnight following daytime highs near 25–27°C, with no active frontal systems or significant moisture to limit temperature drops. Trader consensus clusters on 16°C and 17°C because ensemble spreads show small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology for Incheon supports this range, and upcoming model runs or KMA updates could refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
16°C 35%
17°C 32%
15°C 16%
18°C 12%
12°C或以下
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
16%
16°C
35%
17°C
32%
18°C
12%
19°C
8%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C或更高
2%
16°C 35%
17°C 32%
15°C 16%
18°C 12%
12°C或以下
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
16%
16°C
35%
17°C
32%
18°C
12%
19°C
8%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, YR.no, and GFS-based models indicate a minimum temperature in the Incheon area on September 15 around 15–17°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling overnight following daytime highs near 25–27°C, with no active frontal systems or significant moisture to limit temperature drops. Trader consensus clusters on 16°C and 17°C because ensemble spreads show small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology for Incheon supports this range, and upcoming model runs or KMA updates could refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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