Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by partly cloudy to clearing skies that promote radiative cooling, northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 11–13°C. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon stabilization limits sharp temperature drops absent any frontal passages. Updated runs through September 12 show limited ensemble spread around this range, reinforcing trader positioning on 19°C and 20°C as the highest-implied-probability outcomes while leaving modest room for 18°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月14日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
19°C 39%
18°C 32%
20°C 24%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
8%
18°C
32%
19°C
39%
20°C
24%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C或更高
2%
19°C 39%
18°C 32%
20°C 24%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
5%
17°C
$30 交易量
8%
18°C
$239 交易量
32%
19°C
$429 交易量
39%
20°C
$455 交易量
24%
21°C
$10 交易量
9%
22°C
$0 交易量
4%
23°C
$0 交易量
9%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by partly cloudy to clearing skies that promote radiative cooling, northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 11–13°C. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon stabilization limits sharp temperature drops absent any frontal passages. Updated runs through September 12 show limited ensemble spread around this range, reinforcing trader positioning on 19°C and 20°C as the highest-implied-probability outcomes while leaving modest room for 18°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,162结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by partly cloudy to clearing skies that promote radiative cooling, northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 11–13°C. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon stabilization limits sharp temperature drops absent any frontal passages. Updated runs through September 12 show limited ensemble spread around this range, reinforcing trader positioning on 19°C and 20°C as the highest-implied-probability outcomes while leaving modest room for 18°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,162结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by partly cloudy to clearing skies that promote radiative cooling, northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 11–13°C. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon stabilization limits sharp temperature drops absent any frontal passages. Updated runs through September 12 show limited ensemble spread around this range, reinforcing trader positioning on 19°C and 20°C as the highest-implied-probability outcomes while leaving modest room for 18°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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