Current forecasts from meteorological models and real-time observations across Seoul and Incheon stations show overnight lows stabilizing near 20°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and high humidity, supporting the market's strong 98.6% implied probability for that exact minimum. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where diurnal ranges narrow as seasonal cooling begins but without significant cold air advection. A realistic challenge could arise from localized radiative cooling under clearer skies or revisions in official station data, though model consensus and recent hourly readings indicate low likelihood of dropping to 19°C or below before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月13日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
20°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$10,963 交易量
$10,963 交易量
2026-09-13
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
20°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$10,963 交易量
$10,963 交易量
2026-09-13
16°C或以下
$254 交易量
<1%
17°C
$625 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,101 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,223 交易量
<1%
20°C
$4,016 交易量
100%
21°C
$1,913 交易量
<1%
22°C
$311 交易量
<1%
23°C
$220 交易量
<1%
24°C
$490 交易量
<1%
25°C
$474 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$337 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models and real-time observations across Seoul and Incheon stations show overnight lows stabilizing near 20°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and high humidity, supporting the market's strong 98.6% implied probability for that exact minimum. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where diurnal ranges narrow as seasonal cooling begins but without significant cold air advection. A realistic challenge could arise from localized radiative cooling under clearer skies or revisions in official station data, though model consensus and recent hourly readings indicate low likelihood of dropping to 19°C or below before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,963结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models and real-time observations across Seoul and Incheon stations show overnight lows stabilizing near 20°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and high humidity, supporting the market's strong 98.6% implied probability for that exact minimum. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where diurnal ranges narrow as seasonal cooling begins but without significant cold air advection. A realistic challenge could arise from localized radiative cooling under clearer skies or revisions in official station data, though model consensus and recent hourly readings indicate low likelihood of dropping to 19°C or below before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,963结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
Current forecasts from meteorological models and real-time observations across Seoul and Incheon stations show overnight lows stabilizing near 20°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and high humidity, supporting the market's strong 98.6% implied probability for that exact minimum. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where diurnal ranges narrow as seasonal cooling begins but without significant cold air advection. A realistic challenge could arise from localized radiative cooling under clearer skies or revisions in official station data, though model consensus and recent hourly readings indicate low likelihood of dropping to 19°C or below before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题