Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F for New York City on September 12, following several days of above-average warmth with highs near 80–88°F and limited overnight cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology (average low around 63°F) but incorporates current steering patterns and possible cloud cover that could moderate radiative cooling. The market's leading 49% implied probability on 76°F or higher reflects trader consensus on persistent mild conditions or forecast uncertainty, while the 24% on 57°F or below accounts for downside risks from clearer skies or northerly flow shifts. NOAA model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日纽约市最低气温？
9月12日纽约市最低气温？
76°F或更高 48%
68-69华氏度 36%
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
57华氏度或更低
23%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
35%
68-69华氏度
36%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
19%
76°F或更高
48%
76°F或更高 48%
68-69华氏度 36%
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
57华氏度或更低
$0 交易量
23%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
19%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
23%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
15%
64-65°F
$20 交易量
30%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
35%
68-69华氏度
$0 交易量
36%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
18%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
18%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
19%
76°F或更高
$0 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F for New York City on September 12, following several days of above-average warmth with highs near 80–88°F and limited overnight cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology (average low around 63°F) but incorporates current steering patterns and possible cloud cover that could moderate radiative cooling. The market's leading 49% implied probability on 76°F or higher reflects trader consensus on persistent mild conditions or forecast uncertainty, while the 24% on 57°F or below accounts for downside risks from clearer skies or northerly flow shifts. NOAA model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F for New York City on September 12, following several days of above-average warmth with highs near 80–88°F and limited overnight cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology (average low around 63°F) but incorporates current steering patterns and possible cloud cover that could moderate radiative cooling. The market's leading 49% implied probability on 76°F or higher reflects trader consensus on persistent mild conditions or forecast uncertainty, while the 24% on 57°F or below accounts for downside risks from clearer skies or northerly flow shifts. NOAA model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts project a minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F for New York City on September 12, following several days of above-average warmth with highs near 80–88°F and limited overnight cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology (average low around 63°F) but incorporates current steering patterns and possible cloud cover that could moderate radiative cooling. The market's leading 49% implied probability on 76°F or higher reflects trader consensus on persistent mild conditions or forecast uncertainty, while the 24% on 57°F or below accounts for downside risks from clearer skies or northerly flow shifts. NOAA model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题