Persistent cloud cover and moderate southerly winds are expected to limit daytime heating in Qingdao on September 12, with numerical weather models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF showing consensus highs of 24–26°C under overcast skies. This aligns closely with the September climatological average maximum near 26°C while reflecting typical diurnal ranges of 5–7°C in the region’s monsoon-influenced coastal climate. The tight market-implied odds between 26°C and 27°C capture remaining uncertainty from minor variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, and exact measurement at the official station, with drier air and light winds offering limited potential for brief warming spikes. Updated short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final resolution inputs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日青岛气温最高?
27°C 41%
26°C 35%
28°C 17%
25°C 5%
$11,183 交易量
$11,183 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
35%
27°C
41%
28°C
17%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
2%
27°C 41%
26°C 35%
28°C 17%
25°C 5%
$11,183 交易量
$11,183 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
35%
27°C
41%
28°C
17%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and moderate southerly winds are expected to limit daytime heating in Qingdao on September 12, with numerical weather models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF showing consensus highs of 24–26°C under overcast skies. This aligns closely with the September climatological average maximum near 26°C while reflecting typical diurnal ranges of 5–7°C in the region’s monsoon-influenced coastal climate. The tight market-implied odds between 26°C and 27°C capture remaining uncertainty from minor variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, and exact measurement at the official station, with drier air and light winds offering limited potential for brief warming spikes. Updated short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final resolution inputs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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