**Recent developments show Sao Paulo experienced cooler-than-average overnight conditions on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and southeasterly winds that limited radiative cooling.** Official monitoring data and model outputs indicated minimum temperatures clustered near 11–15 °C, with hourly readings from Congonhas and other stations bottoming out around 11–12 °C amid high humidity (90 %+ ) and overcast skies. This setup reduced the typical nocturnal temperature drop compared with clearer nights, while urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at different stations introduced small variances. Traders priced the close contest among 13 °C, 14 °C, 15 °C, and 10 °C-or-below outcomes because ensemble forecasts diverged on the precise low, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind mixing. The market-implied odds therefore aggregate real-capital assessments of these meteorological variables rather than a single deterministic value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日圣保罗最低温度？
9月13日圣保罗最低温度？
15°C 99.5%
10°C或以下 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$610 交易量
$610 交易量
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
15°C 99.5%
10°C或以下 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$610 交易量
$610 交易量
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$31 交易量
否
14°C
$21 交易量
否
15°C
$202 交易量
是
16°C
$296 交易量
否
17°C
$15 交易量
否
18°C
$15 交易量
否
19°C
$15 交易量
否
20°C或以上
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent developments show Sao Paulo experienced cooler-than-average overnight conditions on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and southeasterly winds that limited radiative cooling.** Official monitoring data and model outputs indicated minimum temperatures clustered near 11–15 °C, with hourly readings from Congonhas and other stations bottoming out around 11–12 °C amid high humidity (90 %+ ) and overcast skies. This setup reduced the typical nocturnal temperature drop compared with clearer nights, while urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at different stations introduced small variances. Traders priced the close contest among 13 °C, 14 °C, 15 °C, and 10 °C-or-below outcomes because ensemble forecasts diverged on the precise low, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind mixing. The market-implied odds therefore aggregate real-capital assessments of these meteorological variables rather than a single deterministic value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$610结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent developments show Sao Paulo experienced cooler-than-average overnight conditions on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and southeasterly winds that limited radiative cooling.** Official monitoring data and model outputs indicated minimum temperatures clustered near 11–15 °C, with hourly readings from Congonhas and other stations bottoming out around 11–12 °C amid high humidity (90 %+ ) and overcast skies. This setup reduced the typical nocturnal temperature drop compared with clearer nights, while urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at different stations introduced small variances. Traders priced the close contest among 13 °C, 14 °C, 15 °C, and 10 °C-or-below outcomes because ensemble forecasts diverged on the precise low, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind mixing. The market-implied odds therefore aggregate real-capital assessments of these meteorological variables rather than a single deterministic value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$610结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Recent developments show Sao Paulo experienced cooler-than-average overnight conditions on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and southeasterly winds that limited radiative cooling.** Official monitoring data and model outputs indicated minimum temperatures clustered near 11–15 °C, with hourly readings from Congonhas and other stations bottoming out around 11–12 °C amid high humidity (90 %+ ) and overcast skies. This setup reduced the typical nocturnal temperature drop compared with clearer nights, while urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at different stations introduced small variances. Traders priced the close contest among 13 °C, 14 °C, 15 °C, and 10 °C-or-below outcomes because ensemble forecasts diverged on the precise low, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind mixing. The market-implied odds therefore aggregate real-capital assessments of these meteorological variables rather than a single deterministic value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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