Current forecast models, including GFS ensembles, indicate maximum temperatures in Paris on September 11 clustered near 24–25°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and variable afternoon cloud cover. This setup creates tight differentiation between outcomes, as partial clearing could allow brief peaks near 25°C while persistent clouds or stronger mixing cap readings at 23–24°C. Recent days have trended slightly above the long-term September average high of about 22°C, supporting trader emphasis on the upper end of the distribution. Official resolution will hinge on precise hourly observations from central Paris stations, with next model cycles likely sharpening the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日巴黎气温最高？
9月11日巴黎气温最高？
25°C 34%
24°C 30%
23°C 18%
26°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
30%
25°C
34%
26°C
15%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
25°C 34%
24°C 30%
23°C 18%
26°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
19°C或以下
$128 交易量
<1%
20°C
$20 交易量
2%
21°C
$166 交易量
2%
22°C
$227 交易量
4%
23°C
$948 交易量
18%
24°C
$756 交易量
30%
25°C
$1,819 交易量
34%
26°C
$1,115 交易量
15%
27°C
$391 交易量
2%
28°C
$171 交易量
1%
29°C或更高
$320 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS ensembles, indicate maximum temperatures in Paris on September 11 clustered near 24–25°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and variable afternoon cloud cover. This setup creates tight differentiation between outcomes, as partial clearing could allow brief peaks near 25°C while persistent clouds or stronger mixing cap readings at 23–24°C. Recent days have trended slightly above the long-term September average high of about 22°C, supporting trader emphasis on the upper end of the distribution. Official resolution will hinge on precise hourly observations from central Paris stations, with next model cycles likely sharpening the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$5,975结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS ensembles, indicate maximum temperatures in Paris on September 11 clustered near 24–25°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and variable afternoon cloud cover. This setup creates tight differentiation between outcomes, as partial clearing could allow brief peaks near 25°C while persistent clouds or stronger mixing cap readings at 23–24°C. Recent days have trended slightly above the long-term September average high of about 22°C, supporting trader emphasis on the upper end of the distribution. Official resolution will hinge on precise hourly observations from central Paris stations, with next model cycles likely sharpening the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,975结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecast models, including GFS ensembles, indicate maximum temperatures in Paris on September 11 clustered near 24–25°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and variable afternoon cloud cover. This setup creates tight differentiation between outcomes, as partial clearing could allow brief peaks near 25°C while persistent clouds or stronger mixing cap readings at 23–24°C. Recent days have trended slightly above the long-term September average high of about 22°C, supporting trader emphasis on the upper end of the distribution. Official resolution will hinge on precise hourly observations from central Paris stations, with next model cycles likely sharpening the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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