Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and DWD indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 11 most likely between 13–15°C, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring those bins amid genuine uncertainty from evolving model runs and potential shifts in Atlantic air masses or high-pressure positioning. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows near 12–14°C, providing context for the spread across 11–16°C outcomes. Traders weigh upcoming high-resolution updates and official Météo-France observations, which resolve the market on precise 24-hour minimum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日巴黎最低气温？
9月11日巴黎最低气温？
14°C 40%
13°C 32%
10°C或以下 27%
15°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
10°C或以下
27%
11°C
14%
12°C
15%
13°C
32%
14°C
40%
15°C
17%
16°C
14%
17°C
11%
18°C
8%
19°C
5%
20°C或更高
2%
14°C 40%
13°C 32%
10°C或以下 27%
15°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
27%
11°C
$0 交易量
14%
12°C
$0 交易量
15%
13°C
$718 交易量
32%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
17%
16°C
$0 交易量
14%
17°C
$0 交易量
11%
18°C
$0 交易量
8%
19°C
$0 交易量
5%
20°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and DWD indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 11 most likely between 13–15°C, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring those bins amid genuine uncertainty from evolving model runs and potential shifts in Atlantic air masses or high-pressure positioning. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows near 12–14°C, providing context for the spread across 11–16°C outcomes. Traders weigh upcoming high-resolution updates and official Météo-France observations, which resolve the market on precise 24-hour minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$718结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and DWD indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 11 most likely between 13–15°C, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring those bins amid genuine uncertainty from evolving model runs and potential shifts in Atlantic air masses or high-pressure positioning. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows near 12–14°C, providing context for the spread across 11–16°C outcomes. Traders weigh upcoming high-resolution updates and official Météo-France observations, which resolve the market on precise 24-hour minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$718结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like GFS and DWD indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 11 most likely between 13–15°C, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring those bins amid genuine uncertainty from evolving model runs and potential shifts in Atlantic air masses or high-pressure positioning. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows near 12–14°C, providing context for the spread across 11–16°C outcomes. Traders weigh upcoming high-resolution updates and official Météo-France observations, which resolve the market on precise 24-hour minimum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题