Recent cold front passage following an early-September heat wave has introduced model uncertainty into Chicago's overnight low for September 11, with forecasts centering on the low-to-mid 60s amid clearing skies and light southerly flow. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs highlight variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions and modest northerly advection behind the front, which could produce lows near 62–66°F or, if clouds linger or winds remain calm, dip toward seasonal norms around 60°F. Historical September averages near 61°F provide context, but the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across mid-range buckets reflects genuine forecast spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Updated NHC and local model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日芝加哥最低气温？
9月11日芝加哥最低气温？
51°F或更低 98%
70°F或更高 98%
58-59华氏度 40%
60-61°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
51°F或更低
98%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
39%
58-59华氏度
40%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
40%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70°F或更高
98%
51°F或更低 98%
70°F或更高 98%
58-59华氏度 40%
60-61°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
51°F或更低
$0 交易量
98%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
39%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
39%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
39%
58-59华氏度
$0 交易量
40%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
40%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
40%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
38%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
39%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
39%
70°F或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold front passage following an early-September heat wave has introduced model uncertainty into Chicago's overnight low for September 11, with forecasts centering on the low-to-mid 60s amid clearing skies and light southerly flow. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs highlight variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions and modest northerly advection behind the front, which could produce lows near 62–66°F or, if clouds linger or winds remain calm, dip toward seasonal norms around 60°F. Historical September averages near 61°F provide context, but the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across mid-range buckets reflects genuine forecast spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Updated NHC and local model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold front passage following an early-September heat wave has introduced model uncertainty into Chicago's overnight low for September 11, with forecasts centering on the low-to-mid 60s amid clearing skies and light southerly flow. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs highlight variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions and modest northerly advection behind the front, which could produce lows near 62–66°F or, if clouds linger or winds remain calm, dip toward seasonal norms around 60°F. Historical September averages near 61°F provide context, but the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across mid-range buckets reflects genuine forecast spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Updated NHC and local model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent cold front passage following an early-September heat wave has introduced model uncertainty into Chicago's overnight low for September 11, with forecasts centering on the low-to-mid 60s amid clearing skies and light southerly flow. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs highlight variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions and modest northerly advection behind the front, which could produce lows near 62–66°F or, if clouds linger or winds remain calm, dip toward seasonal norms around 60°F. Historical September averages near 61°F provide context, but the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across mid-range buckets reflects genuine forecast spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Updated NHC and local model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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