Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and northwest winds gusting above 30 knots limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market’s 65% implied probability on 14°C and 26% on 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability rather than seasonal September averages near 14–15°C. Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution, with any late-model shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing the main variables that could adjust the peak by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月10日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 66%
13°C 26%
12°C 6%
15°C 4%
最新
$14,919 交易量
最新
$14,919 交易量
2026-09-10
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
26%
14°C
66%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 66%
13°C 26%
12°C 6%
15°C 4%
最新
$14,919 交易量
最新
$14,919 交易量
2026-09-10
8°C或以下
$1,106 交易量
<1%
9°C
$1,064 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,292 交易量
<1%
11°C
$2,041 交易量
<1%
12°C
$2,875 交易量
6%
13°C
$1,998 交易量
26%
14°C
$2,045 交易量
66%
15°C
$1,043 交易量
4%
16°C
$726 交易量
1%
17°C
$361 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$369 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and northwest winds gusting above 30 knots limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market’s 65% implied probability on 14°C and 26% on 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability rather than seasonal September averages near 14–15°C. Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution, with any late-model shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing the main variables that could adjust the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$14,919结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and northwest winds gusting above 30 knots limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market’s 65% implied probability on 14°C and 26% on 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability rather than seasonal September averages near 14–15°C. Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution, with any late-model shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing the main variables that could adjust the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,919结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and northwest winds gusting above 30 knots limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market’s 65% implied probability on 14°C and 26% on 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability rather than seasonal September averages near 14–15°C. Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution, with any late-model shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing the main variables that could adjust the peak by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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