Latest MetService and international model consensus for Wellington on September 11 projects a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C under mostly sunny skies after a frontal system clears on the 10th, with moderate northwest winds limiting further warming. Springtime solar angles and typical September climatology support this range, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could push the peak to 15 °C or hold it at 13 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because traders incorporate the latest model runs and historical forecast skill, with the 15 °C outcome leading due to its alignment with ensemble means and recent model consistency. Updated guidance expected before resolution will likely refine the precise threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月11日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 57%
14°C 21%
16℃ 14%
13°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
7%
14°C
21%
15°C
57%
16℃
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
1%
15°C 57%
14°C 21%
16℃ 14%
13°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
9°C或以下
$205 交易量
<1%
10°C
$63 交易量
<1%
11°C
$0 交易量
2%
12°C
$0 交易量
3%
13°C
$8 交易量
7%
14°C
$23 交易量
21%
15°C
$939 交易量
57%
16℃
$80 交易量
14%
17°C
$12 交易量
2%
18°C
$138 交易量
1%
19°C或更高
$186 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model consensus for Wellington on September 11 projects a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C under mostly sunny skies after a frontal system clears on the 10th, with moderate northwest winds limiting further warming. Springtime solar angles and typical September climatology support this range, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could push the peak to 15 °C or hold it at 13 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because traders incorporate the latest model runs and historical forecast skill, with the 15 °C outcome leading due to its alignment with ensemble means and recent model consistency. Updated guidance expected before resolution will likely refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,420结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model consensus for Wellington on September 11 projects a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C under mostly sunny skies after a frontal system clears on the 10th, with moderate northwest winds limiting further warming. Springtime solar angles and typical September climatology support this range, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could push the peak to 15 °C or hold it at 13 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because traders incorporate the latest model runs and historical forecast skill, with the 15 °C outcome leading due to its alignment with ensemble means and recent model consistency. Updated guidance expected before resolution will likely refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,420结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest MetService and international model consensus for Wellington on September 11 projects a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C under mostly sunny skies after a frontal system clears on the 10th, with moderate northwest winds limiting further warming. Springtime solar angles and typical September climatology support this range, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could push the peak to 15 °C or hold it at 13 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because traders incorporate the latest model runs and historical forecast skill, with the 15 °C outcome leading due to its alignment with ensemble means and recent model consistency. Updated guidance expected before resolution will likely refine the precise threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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