**Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C minimum in Qingdao on September 12, reflecting alignment between current forecast model runs and climatological norms.** Official guidance and ensemble predictions indicate the overnight low will settle near this value under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, consistent with September historical averages of roughly 19–20°C for the region. The market-implied 90.5% probability on 19°C underscores trader confidence in these data, tempered by typical model uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. A warmer-than-expected air mass or delayed cooling could push the minimum to 20°C or higher, while stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies might allow brief dips toward 18°C or below before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日青岛最低气温？
9月12日青岛最低气温？
19°C 99.5%
16°C 20%
17°C 20%
18℃ 20%
$1,134 交易量
$1,134 交易量
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18℃
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
19°C 99.5%
16°C 20%
17°C 20%
18℃ 20%
$1,134 交易量
$1,134 交易量
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
$66 交易量
否
16°C
$32 交易量
否
17°C
$30 交易量
否
18℃
$415 交易量
否
19°C
$80 交易量
是
20°C
$386 交易量
否
21°C
$25 交易量
否
22°C
$25 交易量
否
23°C
$25 交易量
否
24°C
$25 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$25 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C minimum in Qingdao on September 12, reflecting alignment between current forecast model runs and climatological norms.** Official guidance and ensemble predictions indicate the overnight low will settle near this value under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, consistent with September historical averages of roughly 19–20°C for the region. The market-implied 90.5% probability on 19°C underscores trader confidence in these data, tempered by typical model uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. A warmer-than-expected air mass or delayed cooling could push the minimum to 20°C or higher, while stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies might allow brief dips toward 18°C or below before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,134结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C minimum in Qingdao on September 12, reflecting alignment between current forecast model runs and climatological norms.** Official guidance and ensemble predictions indicate the overnight low will settle near this value under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, consistent with September historical averages of roughly 19–20°C for the region. The market-implied 90.5% probability on 19°C underscores trader confidence in these data, tempered by typical model uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. A warmer-than-expected air mass or delayed cooling could push the minimum to 20°C or higher, while stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies might allow brief dips toward 18°C or below before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,134结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C minimum in Qingdao on September 12, reflecting alignment between current forecast model runs and climatological norms.** Official guidance and ensemble predictions indicate the overnight low will settle near this value under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, consistent with September historical averages of roughly 19–20°C for the region. The market-implied 90.5% probability on 19°C underscores trader confidence in these data, tempered by typical model uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. A warmer-than-expected air mass or delayed cooling could push the minimum to 20°C or higher, while stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies might allow brief dips toward 18°C or below before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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