Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Chengdu on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling following cooler, wetter conditions on September 15. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed temperature bins, where market-implied odds cluster around 19–20% each. Variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight split between sub-13°C and 23°C+ extremes, as heavier overnight showers or clearer breaks could shift the low by several degrees. Historical mid-September lows average near 20°C, but current model runs show slightly suppressed values due to regional moisture. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日成都最低气温？
9月16日成都最低气温？
23°C或更高 86%
13°C或以下 84%
19°C 40%
14°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
13°C或以下
84%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
28%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C或更高
86%
23°C或更高 86%
13°C或以下 84%
19°C 40%
14°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
84%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$0 交易量
28%
19°C
$0 交易量
40%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Chengdu on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling following cooler, wetter conditions on September 15. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed temperature bins, where market-implied odds cluster around 19–20% each. Variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight split between sub-13°C and 23°C+ extremes, as heavier overnight showers or clearer breaks could shift the low by several degrees. Historical mid-September lows average near 20°C, but current model runs show slightly suppressed values due to regional moisture. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Chengdu on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling following cooler, wetter conditions on September 15. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed temperature bins, where market-implied odds cluster around 19–20% each. Variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight split between sub-13°C and 23°C+ extremes, as heavier overnight showers or clearer breaks could shift the low by several degrees. Historical mid-September lows average near 20°C, but current model runs show slightly suppressed values due to regional moisture. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Chengdu on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling following cooler, wetter conditions on September 15. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed temperature bins, where market-implied odds cluster around 19–20% each. Variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight split between sub-13°C and 23°C+ extremes, as heavier overnight showers or clearer breaks could shift the low by several degrees. Historical mid-September lows average near 20°C, but current model runs show slightly suppressed values due to regional moisture. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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