**Divergence among short-range numerical weather models on overnight radiative cooling drives the closely matched market odds between a cool scenario (≤13°C at 47%) and a warmer one (≥23°C at 41.5%).** Persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle expected on September 16 limit clear-sky heat loss, while variable humidity and urban heat island effects in Istanbul further moderate temperature drops. Historical September minima average 17–20°C, but model disagreements on cloud persistence versus partial clearing create genuine uncertainty around the precise low. Fresh model runs and surface observations in the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and influence trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
9月16日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
23°C或更高 83%
13°C或以下 50%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
13°C或以下
50%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C或更高
83%
23°C或更高 83%
13°C或以下 50%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
13°C或以下
$117 交易量
50%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$33 交易量
22%
18°C
$39 交易量
25%
19°C
$33 交易量
22%
20°C
$33 交易量
22%
21°C
$0 交易量
40%
22°C
$0 交易量
40%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Divergence among short-range numerical weather models on overnight radiative cooling drives the closely matched market odds between a cool scenario (≤13°C at 47%) and a warmer one (≥23°C at 41.5%).** Persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle expected on September 16 limit clear-sky heat loss, while variable humidity and urban heat island effects in Istanbul further moderate temperature drops. Historical September minima average 17–20°C, but model disagreements on cloud persistence versus partial clearing create genuine uncertainty around the precise low. Fresh model runs and surface observations in the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and influence trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$255结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Divergence among short-range numerical weather models on overnight radiative cooling drives the closely matched market odds between a cool scenario (≤13°C at 47%) and a warmer one (≥23°C at 41.5%).** Persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle expected on September 16 limit clear-sky heat loss, while variable humidity and urban heat island effects in Istanbul further moderate temperature drops. Historical September minima average 17–20°C, but model disagreements on cloud persistence versus partial clearing create genuine uncertainty around the precise low. Fresh model runs and surface observations in the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and influence trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$255结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Divergence among short-range numerical weather models on overnight radiative cooling drives the closely matched market odds between a cool scenario (≤13°C at 47%) and a warmer one (≥23°C at 41.5%).** Persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle expected on September 16 limit clear-sky heat loss, while variable humidity and urban heat island effects in Istanbul further moderate temperature drops. Historical September minima average 17–20°C, but model disagreements on cloud persistence versus partial clearing create genuine uncertainty around the precise low. Fresh model runs and surface observations in the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and influence trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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