**Forecast models and official guidance point to a high of 22–23°C in Istanbul on September 16, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly flow.** Multiple sources, including Turkish Meteorological Service updates and global models such as ECMWF and GFS, show daytime maxima near 23–24°C, with one detailed forecast capping the peak at 23°C amid 80–100% cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Recent developments include a sharp regional temperature drop of up to 8°C over the past week as autumnal conditions set in, shifting the pattern from late-summer warmth to cooler, cloudier maritime influence. Northeasterly winds of 6–8 m/s enhance mixing and advect cooler air from the Black Sea, while high humidity (around 50–70%) and stable pressure further suppress the daily maximum. Historical September averages for Istanbul hover near 24°C, so current conditions represent a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloudiness rather than a major synoptic shift. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability on 22°C and 26.5% on 21°C, aligns with ensemble spreads favoring the lower end of model guidance; 23°C receives only 15% as some runs allow brief afternoon clearing. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECMWF and GFS runs, which will refine cloud and wind forecasts through the 15th–16th. Any unexpected reduction in cloud cover or wind shift could push readings toward 24°C, though current data favor the 21–23°C range as the most probable resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月16日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
22°C 50%
21°C 27%
23°C 15%
20°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
27%
22°C
50%
23°C
15%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
1%
22°C 50%
21°C 27%
23°C 15%
20°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
$20 交易量
2%
19°C
$27 交易量
4%
20°C
$133 交易量
5%
21°C
$411 交易量
27%
22°C
$229 交易量
50%
23°C
$113 交易量
15%
24°C
$45 交易量
4%
25°C
$87 交易量
3%
26°C
$46 交易量
1%
27°C
$6 交易量
1%
28°C或更高
$16 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a high of 22–23°C in Istanbul on September 16, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly flow.** Multiple sources, including Turkish Meteorological Service updates and global models such as ECMWF and GFS, show daytime maxima near 23–24°C, with one detailed forecast capping the peak at 23°C amid 80–100% cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Recent developments include a sharp regional temperature drop of up to 8°C over the past week as autumnal conditions set in, shifting the pattern from late-summer warmth to cooler, cloudier maritime influence.
Northeasterly winds of 6–8 m/s enhance mixing and advect cooler air from the Black Sea, while high humidity (around 50–70%) and stable pressure further suppress the daily maximum. Historical September averages for Istanbul hover near 24°C, so current conditions represent a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloudiness rather than a major synoptic shift. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability on 22°C and 26.5% on 21°C, aligns with ensemble spreads favoring the lower end of model guidance; 23°C receives only 15% as some runs allow brief afternoon clearing.
Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECMWF and GFS runs, which will refine cloud and wind forecasts through the 15th–16th. Any unexpected reduction in cloud cover or wind shift could push readings toward 24°C, though current data favor the 21–23°C range as the most probable resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,134结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a high of 22–23°C in Istanbul on September 16, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly flow.** Multiple sources, including Turkish Meteorological Service updates and global models such as ECMWF and GFS, show daytime maxima near 23–24°C, with one detailed forecast capping the peak at 23°C amid 80–100% cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Recent developments include a sharp regional temperature drop of up to 8°C over the past week as autumnal conditions set in, shifting the pattern from late-summer warmth to cooler, cloudier maritime influence.
Northeasterly winds of 6–8 m/s enhance mixing and advect cooler air from the Black Sea, while high humidity (around 50–70%) and stable pressure further suppress the daily maximum. Historical September averages for Istanbul hover near 24°C, so current conditions represent a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloudiness rather than a major synoptic shift. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability on 22°C and 26.5% on 21°C, aligns with ensemble spreads favoring the lower end of model guidance; 23°C receives only 15% as some runs allow brief afternoon clearing.
Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECMWF and GFS runs, which will refine cloud and wind forecasts through the 15th–16th. Any unexpected reduction in cloud cover or wind shift could push readings toward 24°C, though current data favor the 21–23°C range as the most probable resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,134结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models and official guidance point to a high of 22–23°C in Istanbul on September 16, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly flow.** Multiple sources, including Turkish Meteorological Service updates and global models such as ECMWF and GFS, show daytime maxima near 23–24°C, with one detailed forecast capping the peak at 23°C amid 80–100% cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Recent developments include a sharp regional temperature drop of up to 8°C over the past week as autumnal conditions set in, shifting the pattern from late-summer warmth to cooler, cloudier maritime influence. Northeasterly winds of 6–8 m/s enhance mixing and advect cooler air from the Black Sea, while high humidity (around 50–70%) and stable pressure further suppress the daily maximum. Historical September averages for Istanbul hover near 24°C, so current conditions represent a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloudiness rather than a major synoptic shift. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability on 22°C and 26.5% on 21°C, aligns with ensemble spreads favoring the lower end of model guidance; 23°C receives only 15% as some runs allow brief afternoon clearing. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECMWF and GFS runs, which will refine cloud and wind forecasts through the 15th–16th. Any unexpected reduction in cloud cover or wind shift could push readings toward 24°C, though current data favor the 21–23°C range as the most probable resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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