Trader consensus clusters around 20–24°C for Taipei’s September 16 overnight low because official forecasts and model runs converge on minimum temperatures in that narrow band under stable subtropical conditions. Light easterly winds near 4–6 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity near 80% limit radiative cooling after sunset, preventing deeper drops while also capping overnight warmth. Central Weather Administration and international guidance show daytime highs near 28–30°C transitioning to lows of 22–24°C, consistent with September climatology for the region. With resolution dependent on the precise recorded minimum from official stations, traders weigh minor variations in cloud cover and wind against historical analogs that rarely dip below 20°C or exceed 25°C on similar dates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日台北气温最低?
24°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
$276 交易量
$276 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
24°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
$276 交易量
$276 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus clusters around 20–24°C for Taipei’s September 16 overnight low because official forecasts and model runs converge on minimum temperatures in that narrow band under stable subtropical conditions. Light easterly winds near 4–6 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity near 80% limit radiative cooling after sunset, preventing deeper drops while also capping overnight warmth. Central Weather Administration and international guidance show daytime highs near 28–30°C transitioning to lows of 22–24°C, consistent with September climatology for the region. With resolution dependent on the precise recorded minimum from official stations, traders weigh minor variations in cloud cover and wind against historical analogs that rarely dip below 20°C or exceed 25°C on similar dates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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