Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high of 24–25°C for Milan on September 11, driven by clearing skies and moderate westerly flow behind a frontal system that brought rain and cooler air on the 10th. Surface observations and guidance from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs show daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, limiting further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability on 25°C and 27% on 26°C, aligns with this narrow range; historical mid-September averages near 23–25°C provide additional context. Model spreads remain modest, but any shift in the timing of cloud cover or wind direction could alter the peak by 1–2°C before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日米兰的最高温度？
9月11日米兰的最高温度？
25°C 42%
26°C 36%
24°C 16%
27°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
42%
26°C
36%
27°C
5%
28°C或更高
2%
25°C 42%
26°C 36%
24°C 16%
27°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
18°C或以下
$852 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,540 交易量
<1%
20°C
$437 交易量
<1%
21°C
$205 交易量
<1%
22°C
$199 交易量
2%
23°C
$153 交易量
3%
24°C
$502 交易量
16%
25°C
$534 交易量
42%
26°C
$699 交易量
36%
27°C
$14 交易量
5%
28°C或更高
$81 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high of 24–25°C for Milan on September 11, driven by clearing skies and moderate westerly flow behind a frontal system that brought rain and cooler air on the 10th. Surface observations and guidance from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs show daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, limiting further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability on 25°C and 27% on 26°C, aligns with this narrow range; historical mid-September averages near 23–25°C provide additional context. Model spreads remain modest, but any shift in the timing of cloud cover or wind direction could alter the peak by 1–2°C before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5,217结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high of 24–25°C for Milan on September 11, driven by clearing skies and moderate westerly flow behind a frontal system that brought rain and cooler air on the 10th. Surface observations and guidance from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs show daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, limiting further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability on 25°C and 27% on 26°C, aligns with this narrow range; historical mid-September averages near 23–25°C provide additional context. Model spreads remain modest, but any shift in the timing of cloud cover or wind direction could alter the peak by 1–2°C before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,217结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high of 24–25°C for Milan on September 11, driven by clearing skies and moderate westerly flow behind a frontal system that brought rain and cooler air on the 10th. Surface observations and guidance from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs show daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, limiting further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability on 25°C and 27% on 26°C, aligns with this narrow range; historical mid-September averages near 23–25°C provide additional context. Model spreads remain modest, but any shift in the timing of cloud cover or wind direction could alter the peak by 1–2°C before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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