Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a Milan daily maximum of 20–22°C on September 10 because official guidance and ensemble forecasts show a cooler, moister air mass arriving with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Recent model runs from agencies such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate afternoon peaks most likely near 19–22°C, with light northeasterly flow and high humidity further capping the range. Resolution hinges on the official recorded high, so any late-day clearing or timing shifts in precipitation could nudge the outcome between the closely bunched 20–22°C bins. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final consensus ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日米兰最高气温？
9月10日米兰最高气温？
21°C 29%
22°C 22%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
最新
$14,315 交易量
最新
$14,315 交易量
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
20%
21°C
29%
22°C
22%
23°C
13%
24°C或更高
10%
21°C 29%
22°C 22%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
最新
$14,315 交易量
最新
$14,315 交易量
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
$1,288 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,352 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,349 交易量
<1%
17°C
$373 交易量
<1%
18°C
$70 交易量
1%
19°C
$399 交易量
8%
20°C
$1,464 交易量
20%
21°C
$1,214 交易量
29%
22°C
$2,894 交易量
22%
23°C
$1,331 交易量
13%
24°C或更高
$2,582 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a Milan daily maximum of 20–22°C on September 10 because official guidance and ensemble forecasts show a cooler, moister air mass arriving with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Recent model runs from agencies such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate afternoon peaks most likely near 19–22°C, with light northeasterly flow and high humidity further capping the range. Resolution hinges on the official recorded high, so any late-day clearing or timing shifts in precipitation could nudge the outcome between the closely bunched 20–22°C bins. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final consensus ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$14,315结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a Milan daily maximum of 20–22°C on September 10 because official guidance and ensemble forecasts show a cooler, moister air mass arriving with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Recent model runs from agencies such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate afternoon peaks most likely near 19–22°C, with light northeasterly flow and high humidity further capping the range. Resolution hinges on the official recorded high, so any late-day clearing or timing shifts in precipitation could nudge the outcome between the closely bunched 20–22°C bins. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final consensus ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,315结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTraders assign the highest implied probabilities to a Milan daily maximum of 20–22°C on September 10 because official guidance and ensemble forecasts show a cooler, moister air mass arriving with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Recent model runs from agencies such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate afternoon peaks most likely near 19–22°C, with light northeasterly flow and high humidity further capping the range. Resolution hinges on the official recorded high, so any late-day clearing or timing shifts in precipitation could nudge the outcome between the closely bunched 20–22°C bins. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final consensus ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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