Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models indicate Madrid's September 9 high will center near 27°C, driven by a widespread cooling from northerly flow and regional instability that has lowered maxima by 6–10°C across much of the peninsula. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid- to upper-20s under partly cloudy skies with limited moisture, consistent with the historical average high of 28°C for the date but tempered by the current frontal passage. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 66.5% implied probability, with 28°C as the main alternative, reflecting tight model agreement on the cooling trend and low odds for extremes given the timing of the temperature drop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日马德里气温最高？
9月9日马德里气温最高？
27°C 69%
28°C 22%
26°C 8%
29°C 6%
$28,700 交易量
$28,700 交易量
2026-09-09
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
69%
28°C
22%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
27°C 69%
28°C 22%
26°C 8%
29°C 6%
$28,700 交易量
$28,700 交易量
2026-09-09
24°C或以下
$1,271 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,354 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,885 交易量
8%
27°C
$6,830 交易量
69%
28°C
$5,206 交易量
22%
29°C
$2,716 交易量
6%
30°C
$2,168 交易量
<1%
31°C
$680 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,281 交易量
<1%
33°C
$796 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$514 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models indicate Madrid's September 9 high will center near 27°C, driven by a widespread cooling from northerly flow and regional instability that has lowered maxima by 6–10°C across much of the peninsula. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid- to upper-20s under partly cloudy skies with limited moisture, consistent with the historical average high of 28°C for the date but tempered by the current frontal passage. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 66.5% implied probability, with 28°C as the main alternative, reflecting tight model agreement on the cooling trend and low odds for extremes given the timing of the temperature drop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$28,700结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models indicate Madrid's September 9 high will center near 27°C, driven by a widespread cooling from northerly flow and regional instability that has lowered maxima by 6–10°C across much of the peninsula. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid- to upper-20s under partly cloudy skies with limited moisture, consistent with the historical average high of 28°C for the date but tempered by the current frontal passage. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 66.5% implied probability, with 28°C as the main alternative, reflecting tight model agreement on the cooling trend and low odds for extremes given the timing of the temperature drop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,700结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models indicate Madrid's September 9 high will center near 27°C, driven by a widespread cooling from northerly flow and regional instability that has lowered maxima by 6–10°C across much of the peninsula. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid- to upper-20s under partly cloudy skies with limited moisture, consistent with the historical average high of 28°C for the date but tempered by the current frontal passage. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 66.5% implied probability, with 28°C as the main alternative, reflecting tight model agreement on the cooling trend and low odds for extremes given the timing of the temperature drop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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