**Recent official and model forecasts for Karachi on September 11, 2026, show daytime highs clustered around 32–33°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and low precipitation chances.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 33°C holds the highest implied probability at 45.5% and 32°C follows at 26.0%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and historical September baselines near 32°C. Key scientific drivers include the seasonal transition after peak monsoon, with coastal sea-breeze effects and moderate humidity (around 60–75%) limiting extreme heating, alongside stable high-pressure patterns favoring clear to partly cloudy conditions. No significant tropical systems, strong monsoon surges, or anomalous warming are indicated in current guidance from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models (GFS). Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or local urban heat effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the spread across nearby bins and the lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-31°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日卡拉奇的最高温度？
9月11日卡拉奇的最高温度？
33°C 46%
32°C 26%
34°C 16%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
11%
32°C
26%
33°C
46%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
2%
33°C 46%
32°C 26%
34°C 16%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
27°C或以下
$215 交易量
<1%
28°C
$63 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
3%
30°C
$0 交易量
7%
31°C
$8 交易量
11%
32°C
$2 交易量
26%
33°C
$130 交易量
46%
34°C
$6 交易量
16%
35°C
$0 交易量
7%
36°C
$64 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$111 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts for Karachi on September 11, 2026, show daytime highs clustered around 32–33°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and low precipitation chances.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 33°C holds the highest implied probability at 45.5% and 32°C follows at 26.0%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and historical September baselines near 32°C.
Key scientific drivers include the seasonal transition after peak monsoon, with coastal sea-breeze effects and moderate humidity (around 60–75%) limiting extreme heating, alongside stable high-pressure patterns favoring clear to partly cloudy conditions. No significant tropical systems, strong monsoon surges, or anomalous warming are indicated in current guidance from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models (GFS). Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or local urban heat effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the spread across nearby bins and the lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-31°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$599结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts for Karachi on September 11, 2026, show daytime highs clustered around 32–33°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and low precipitation chances.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 33°C holds the highest implied probability at 45.5% and 32°C follows at 26.0%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and historical September baselines near 32°C.
Key scientific drivers include the seasonal transition after peak monsoon, with coastal sea-breeze effects and moderate humidity (around 60–75%) limiting extreme heating, alongside stable high-pressure patterns favoring clear to partly cloudy conditions. No significant tropical systems, strong monsoon surges, or anomalous warming are indicated in current guidance from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models (GFS). Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or local urban heat effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the spread across nearby bins and the lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-31°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$599结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Recent official and model forecasts for Karachi on September 11, 2026, show daytime highs clustered around 32–33°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and low precipitation chances.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 33°C holds the highest implied probability at 45.5% and 32°C follows at 26.0%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and historical September baselines near 32°C. Key scientific drivers include the seasonal transition after peak monsoon, with coastal sea-breeze effects and moderate humidity (around 60–75%) limiting extreme heating, alongside stable high-pressure patterns favoring clear to partly cloudy conditions. No significant tropical systems, strong monsoon surges, or anomalous warming are indicated in current guidance from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models (GFS). Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or local urban heat effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the spread across nearby bins and the lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-31°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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