**Trader consensus on a 14°C high for Wellington on September 9 rests on real-time MetService observations and short-range forecast models showing daytime peaks reaching exactly that threshold under northerly winds and mostly fine conditions.** Station data through the afternoon recorded maxima around 14°C, aligning with model consensus for light winds and limited cloud cover that prevented further warming or rapid cooling. Historical September averages near 13–15°C provide climatological context, but today’s specific steering pattern and pressure setup locked in this narrow outcome. Late-day measurement revisions or slight differences across official stations remain the only realistic variables that could shift resolution, though current evidence leaves little room for deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日惠灵顿的最高温度?
14°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$40,732 交易量
$40,732 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$40,732 交易量
$40,732 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus on a 14°C high for Wellington on September 9 rests on real-time MetService observations and short-range forecast models showing daytime peaks reaching exactly that threshold under northerly winds and mostly fine conditions.** Station data through the afternoon recorded maxima around 14°C, aligning with model consensus for light winds and limited cloud cover that prevented further warming or rapid cooling. Historical September averages near 13–15°C provide climatological context, but today’s specific steering pattern and pressure setup locked in this narrow outcome. Late-day measurement revisions or slight differences across official stations remain the only realistic variables that could shift resolution, though current evidence leaves little room for deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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