Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air after a hot period earlier in the week. Light southwest winds by afternoon and partly cloudy skies should limit further warming, keeping afternoon readings around 27–28°C according to multiple runs. This consensus aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on those two outcomes at 52.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Updated high-resolution guidance and AEMET briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日马德里气温最高？
9月10日马德里气温最高？
28°C 54%
27°C 35%
29°C 10%
26°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
35%
28°C
54%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 35%
29°C 10%
26°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
$75 交易量
1%
25°C
$15 交易量
3%
26°C
$43 交易量
4%
27°C
$411 交易量
35%
28°C
$433 交易量
54%
29°C
$360 交易量
10%
30°C
$8 交易量
2%
31°C
$5 交易量
1%
32°C
$0 交易量
1%
33°C
$501 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$493 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air after a hot period earlier in the week. Light southwest winds by afternoon and partly cloudy skies should limit further warming, keeping afternoon readings around 27–28°C according to multiple runs. This consensus aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on those two outcomes at 52.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Updated high-resolution guidance and AEMET briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,344结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air after a hot period earlier in the week. Light southwest winds by afternoon and partly cloudy skies should limit further warming, keeping afternoon readings around 27–28°C according to multiple runs. This consensus aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on those two outcomes at 52.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Updated high-resolution guidance and AEMET briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,344结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air after a hot period earlier in the week. Light southwest winds by afternoon and partly cloudy skies should limit further warming, keeping afternoon readings around 27–28°C according to multiple runs. This consensus aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on those two outcomes at 52.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Updated high-resolution guidance and AEMET briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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