Official observations and forecast models aligned on a minimum temperature of 14°C in Mexico City on September 10, 2026, producing the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Light winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented deeper drops, consistent with typical early-September climatology where nocturnal lows average near 13–14°C. Trader consensus reflects verified station data and narrow uncertainty ranges in real-time guidance. A modest revision in official records, a localized cold pocket at the measurement site, or post-event data adjustments could still shift resolution, though such changes appear unlikely given the tight model agreement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城9月10日的最低温度？
墨西哥城9月10日的最低温度？
14°C 100.0%
13°C 20%
9°C 3%
6°C或以下 <1%
$691 交易量
$691 交易量
2026-09-10
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
13°C 20%
9°C 3%
6°C或以下 <1%
$691 交易量
$691 交易量
2026-09-10
6°C或以下
$30 交易量
否
7°C
$55 交易量
否
8°C
$55 交易量
否
9°C
$30 交易量
否
10°C
$60 交易量
否
11°C
$30 交易量
否
12°C
$20 交易量
否
13°C
$20 交易量
否
14°C
$77 交易量
是
15°C
$204 交易量
否
16°C或更高
$110 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations and forecast models aligned on a minimum temperature of 14°C in Mexico City on September 10, 2026, producing the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Light winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented deeper drops, consistent with typical early-September climatology where nocturnal lows average near 13–14°C. Trader consensus reflects verified station data and narrow uncertainty ranges in real-time guidance. A modest revision in official records, a localized cold pocket at the measurement site, or post-event data adjustments could still shift resolution, though such changes appear unlikely given the tight model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$691结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations and forecast models aligned on a minimum temperature of 14°C in Mexico City on September 10, 2026, producing the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Light winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented deeper drops, consistent with typical early-September climatology where nocturnal lows average near 13–14°C. Trader consensus reflects verified station data and narrow uncertainty ranges in real-time guidance. A modest revision in official records, a localized cold pocket at the measurement site, or post-event data adjustments could still shift resolution, though such changes appear unlikely given the tight model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$691结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations and forecast models aligned on a minimum temperature of 14°C in Mexico City on September 10, 2026, producing the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Light winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented deeper drops, consistent with typical early-September climatology where nocturnal lows average near 13–14°C. Trader consensus reflects verified station data and narrow uncertainty ranges in real-time guidance. A modest revision in official records, a localized cold pocket at the measurement site, or post-event data adjustments could still shift resolution, though such changes appear unlikely given the tight model agreement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题