Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 10 center on highs of 74–80°F, reflecting a moderating sea breeze and marine layer under high pressure following a heat advisory. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty in onshore flow strength and timing, which can suppress coastal maxima by several degrees compared to inland or airport sites. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 78–81°F bins because slight variations in wind direction or inversion depth could allow brief warming before the afternoon breeze strengthens. Historical September averages near 70°F and recent above-normal readings underscore how marine influences differentiate these narrow temperature outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will likely refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日旧金山气温最高？
9月10日旧金山气温最高？
80-81华氏度 28%
78-79华氏度 20%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75华氏度
8%
76-77°F
13%
78-79华氏度
20%
80-81华氏度
28%
82-83°F
16%
84-85华氏度
7%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
<1%
90华氏度或更高
<1%
80-81华氏度 28%
78-79华氏度 20%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
71°F或以下
$212 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$109 交易量
4%
74-75华氏度
$108 交易量
8%
76-77°F
$443 交易量
13%
78-79华氏度
$408 交易量
20%
80-81华氏度
$668 交易量
28%
82-83°F
$996 交易量
16%
84-85华氏度
$420 交易量
7%
86-87°F
$399 交易量
4%
88-89°F
$151 交易量
<1%
90华氏度或更高
$100 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 10 center on highs of 74–80°F, reflecting a moderating sea breeze and marine layer under high pressure following a heat advisory. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty in onshore flow strength and timing, which can suppress coastal maxima by several degrees compared to inland or airport sites. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 78–81°F bins because slight variations in wind direction or inversion depth could allow brief warming before the afternoon breeze strengthens. Historical September averages near 70°F and recent above-normal readings underscore how marine influences differentiate these narrow temperature outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,014结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 10 center on highs of 74–80°F, reflecting a moderating sea breeze and marine layer under high pressure following a heat advisory. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty in onshore flow strength and timing, which can suppress coastal maxima by several degrees compared to inland or airport sites. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 78–81°F bins because slight variations in wind direction or inversion depth could allow brief warming before the afternoon breeze strengthens. Historical September averages near 70°F and recent above-normal readings underscore how marine influences differentiate these narrow temperature outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,014结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 10 center on highs of 74–80°F, reflecting a moderating sea breeze and marine layer under high pressure following a heat advisory. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty in onshore flow strength and timing, which can suppress coastal maxima by several degrees compared to inland or airport sites. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 78–81°F bins because slight variations in wind direction or inversion depth could allow brief warming before the afternoon breeze strengthens. Historical September averages near 70°F and recent above-normal readings underscore how marine influences differentiate these narrow temperature outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will likely refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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