Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and models like GFS indicate Buenos Aires will reach a daytime maximum near 18–20°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and modest humidity. This springtime setup features rising solar insolation and minimal cloud cover that favors surface heating, though onshore easterly winds later in the day and a stable marine layer limit further warming. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C reflects genuine uncertainty in afternoon peak timing, exact dew-point suppression of sensible temperatures, and microscale urban heat effects versus official station readings. New hourly observations and model updates through peak heating hours around 14:00–16:00 local time will drive any final shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
22°C 35%
21°C 35%
23°C 21%
20°C 8%
$19,282 交易量
$19,282 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
35%
22°C
35%
23°C
21%
24°C
4%
25°C或更高
<1%
22°C 35%
21°C 35%
23°C 21%
20°C 8%
$19,282 交易量
$19,282 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
35%
22°C
35%
23°C
21%
24°C
4%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and models like GFS indicate Buenos Aires will reach a daytime maximum near 18–20°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and modest humidity. This springtime setup features rising solar insolation and minimal cloud cover that favors surface heating, though onshore easterly winds later in the day and a stable marine layer limit further warming. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C reflects genuine uncertainty in afternoon peak timing, exact dew-point suppression of sensible temperatures, and microscale urban heat effects versus official station readings. New hourly observations and model updates through peak heating hours around 14:00–16:00 local time will drive any final shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题