Market-implied odds favor 33°C as Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 10, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological services and international models projecting daytime maxima near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Northeast winds and rising humidity are expected to limit afternoon heating, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C for the date. Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from current conditions near 34–35°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 34°C while heavier rain would cap readings at 31–32°C. Traders appear to balance these variables against historical variability, where September 10 highs have ranged from the mid-20s to 36.5°C. Further guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the event will likely influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日广州气温最高？
9月10日广州气温最高？
33°C 44%
32°C 25%
34°C 19%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
27°C或以下
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
9%
32°C
25%
33°C
44%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
33°C 44%
32°C 25%
34°C 19%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
27°C或以下
$51 交易量
2%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$3 交易量
4%
30°C
$20 交易量
7%
31°C
$42 交易量
9%
32°C
$25 交易量
25%
33°C
$59 交易量
44%
34°C
$72 交易量
19%
35°C
$20 交易量
7%
36°C
$78 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$121 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor 33°C as Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 10, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological services and international models projecting daytime maxima near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Northeast winds and rising humidity are expected to limit afternoon heating, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C for the date. Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from current conditions near 34–35°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 34°C while heavier rain would cap readings at 31–32°C. Traders appear to balance these variables against historical variability, where September 10 highs have ranged from the mid-20s to 36.5°C. Further guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the event will likely influence positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$491结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor 33°C as Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 10, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological services and international models projecting daytime maxima near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Northeast winds and rising humidity are expected to limit afternoon heating, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C for the date. Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from current conditions near 34–35°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 34°C while heavier rain would cap readings at 31–32°C. Traders appear to balance these variables against historical variability, where September 10 highs have ranged from the mid-20s to 36.5°C. Further guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the event will likely influence positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$491结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETMarket-implied odds favor 33°C as Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 10, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological services and international models projecting daytime maxima near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Northeast winds and rising humidity are expected to limit afternoon heating, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C for the date. Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from current conditions near 34–35°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 34°C while heavier rain would cap readings at 31–32°C. Traders appear to balance these variables against historical variability, where September 10 highs have ranged from the mid-20s to 36.5°C. Further guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the event will likely influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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