Recent model consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and building high pressure that favors strong daytime insolation before a cold front arrives. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (53.5 %) followed by 31°C and 33°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical September maxima rarely exceed 29–30°C. The implied probabilities align with the latest guidance showing peak readings in the low 30s before rapid cooling and showers develop the following day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日慕尼黑气温最高？
9月8日慕尼黑气温最高？
32°C 54%
31°C 24%
33°C 20.2%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
24%
32°C
54%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 54%
31°C 24%
33°C 20.2%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
27°C或以下
$129 交易量
1%
28°C
$49 交易量
1%
29°C
$76 交易量
2%
30°C
$902 交易量
4%
31°C
$1,391 交易量
24%
32°C
$1,004 交易量
54%
33°C
$418 交易量
20%
34°C
$150 交易量
2%
35°C
$58 交易量
1%
36°C
$279 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$419 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and building high pressure that favors strong daytime insolation before a cold front arrives. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (53.5 %) followed by 31°C and 33°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical September maxima rarely exceed 29–30°C. The implied probabilities align with the latest guidance showing peak readings in the low 30s before rapid cooling and showers develop the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,874结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and building high pressure that favors strong daytime insolation before a cold front arrives. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (53.5 %) followed by 31°C and 33°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical September maxima rarely exceed 29–30°C. The implied probabilities align with the latest guidance showing peak readings in the low 30s before rapid cooling and showers develop the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,874结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and building high pressure that favors strong daytime insolation before a cold front arrives. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (53.5 %) followed by 31°C and 33°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical September maxima rarely exceed 29–30°C. The implied probabilities align with the latest guidance showing peak readings in the low 30s before rapid cooling and showers develop the following day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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