**Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C on September 8 in Munich, driven by a warm southerly flow under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiational cooling.** This setup, with afternoon highs reaching 28–30°C, aligns with recent DWD and ECMWF guidance showing warmer-than-average overnight conditions. Trader sentiment, however, assigns 43% implied probability to 12°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus, potential localized variations, or shifts in the steering pattern before the overnight minimum is recorded at official stations. Historical September 8 averages near 11°C provide context, but the present synoptic regime favors milder outcomes unless new data alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日慕尼黑最低气温?
17°C 47%
14°C 31%
18°C 30%
13°C 28%
12°C或以下
44%
13°C
28%
14°C
31%
15°C
26%
16°C
23%
17°C
47%
18°C
30%
19°C
25%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
7%
17°C 47%
14°C 31%
18°C 30%
13°C 28%
12°C或以下
44%
13°C
28%
14°C
31%
15°C
26%
16°C
23%
17°C
47%
18°C
30%
19°C
25%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C on September 8 in Munich, driven by a warm southerly flow under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiational cooling.** This setup, with afternoon highs reaching 28–30°C, aligns with recent DWD and ECMWF guidance showing warmer-than-average overnight conditions. Trader sentiment, however, assigns 43% implied probability to 12°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus, potential localized variations, or shifts in the steering pattern before the overnight minimum is recorded at official stations. Historical September 8 averages near 11°C provide context, but the present synoptic regime favors milder outcomes unless new data alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题