Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including DWD and ECMWF runs, indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on September 7 likely near 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3°C. Model spread introduces meaningful uncertainty, with some members supporting values near or below 10°C if nocturnal cooling strengthens under clearer conditions, while others project warmer minima above 15°C amid stronger mixing. This distribution aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across mid-range bins and elevated probability on 7°C or below, reflecting traders weighting the tail risk from forecast variability against historical September extremes as low as 2.7°C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月7日慕尼黑最低气温？
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
10°C 45%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
7°C或以下
36%
8°C
21%
9°C
28%
10°C
45%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
39%
15°C
8%
16°C
8%
17°C或更高
43%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
10°C 45%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
36%
8°C
$0 交易量
21%
9°C
$0 交易量
28%
10°C
$0 交易量
45%
11°C
$0 交易量
49%
12°C
$0 交易量
49%
13°C
$0 交易量
49%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
8%
16°C
$0 交易量
8%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including DWD and ECMWF runs, indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on September 7 likely near 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3°C. Model spread introduces meaningful uncertainty, with some members supporting values near or below 10°C if nocturnal cooling strengthens under clearer conditions, while others project warmer minima above 15°C amid stronger mixing. This distribution aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across mid-range bins and elevated probability on 7°C or below, reflecting traders weighting the tail risk from forecast variability against historical September extremes as low as 2.7°C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including DWD and ECMWF runs, indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on September 7 likely near 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3°C. Model spread introduces meaningful uncertainty, with some members supporting values near or below 10°C if nocturnal cooling strengthens under clearer conditions, while others project warmer minima above 15°C amid stronger mixing. This distribution aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across mid-range bins and elevated probability on 7°C or below, reflecting traders weighting the tail risk from forecast variability against historical September extremes as low as 2.7°C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from European models, including DWD and ECMWF runs, indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on September 7 likely near 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3°C. Model spread introduces meaningful uncertainty, with some members supporting values near or below 10°C if nocturnal cooling strengthens under clearer conditions, while others project warmer minima above 15°C amid stronger mixing. This distribution aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across mid-range bins and elevated probability on 7°C or below, reflecting traders weighting the tail risk from forecast variability against historical September extremes as low as 2.7°C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题