Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 11 point to mostly sunny conditions with northeast winds of 5–8 mph and moderate humidity around 60%, supporting a daily high in the low 30s°C. Official and ensemble model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international outlooks consistently project maxima between 31°C and 33°C, aligning with the market’s tight spread between 31°C and 32°C. Historical September averages near 32°C provide climatological context, while variable cloud cover and any late-day convection introduce the small uncertainty reflected in probabilities for 30°C or 33°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日深圳气温最高?
32°C 34%
31°C 32%
29°C 13%
33°C 13%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
12%
31°C
32%
32°C
34%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
4%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 32%
29°C 13%
33°C 13%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
12%
31°C
32%
32°C
34%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
4%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 11 point to mostly sunny conditions with northeast winds of 5–8 mph and moderate humidity around 60%, supporting a daily high in the low 30s°C. Official and ensemble model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international outlooks consistently project maxima between 31°C and 33°C, aligning with the market’s tight spread between 31°C and 32°C. Historical September averages near 32°C provide climatological context, while variable cloud cover and any late-day convection introduce the small uncertainty reflected in probabilities for 30°C or 33°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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