**Current forecast consensus from sources including WeatherBug, local Chinese meteorological services, and WindBorne points to an overnight low near 21–24°C for Jinan on September 15 under clear to mostly clear skies and light southwest winds, well above the market’s leading 12–15°C cluster.** Trader sentiment appears anchored in historical September averages (typical lows around 17–18°C) and the natural seasonal cooling trend as solar insolation declines, combined with uncertainty over the precise official station reading that resolves the market. Clear conditions favor radiative cooling overnight, yet the warm air mass and breezy flow limit the drop, while model consensus shows minimal disagreement on this stable pattern. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter temperatures sharply on this date. Upcoming official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive minimum, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C reflecting the balance between climatological baselines and the current warm anomaly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日济南最低气温？
9月15日济南最低气温？
15°C 99%
12°C或以下 20%
13°C 16%
14°C 16%
$2,161 交易量
$2,161 交易量
2026-09-15
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18℃
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
15°C 99%
12°C或以下 20%
13°C 16%
14°C 16%
$2,161 交易量
$2,161 交易量
2026-09-15
12°C或以下
$30 交易量
否
13°C
$27 交易量
否
14°C
$27 交易量
否
15°C
$227 交易量
是
16°C
$41 交易量
否
17°C
$121 交易量
否
18℃
$271 交易量
否
19°C
$626 交易量
否
20°C
$748 交易量
否
21°C
$21 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$21 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from sources including WeatherBug, local Chinese meteorological services, and WindBorne points to an overnight low near 21–24°C for Jinan on September 15 under clear to mostly clear skies and light southwest winds, well above the market’s leading 12–15°C cluster.**
Trader sentiment appears anchored in historical September averages (typical lows around 17–18°C) and the natural seasonal cooling trend as solar insolation declines, combined with uncertainty over the precise official station reading that resolves the market. Clear conditions favor radiative cooling overnight, yet the warm air mass and breezy flow limit the drop, while model consensus shows minimal disagreement on this stable pattern.
No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter temperatures sharply on this date. Upcoming official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive minimum, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C reflecting the balance between climatological baselines and the current warm anomaly.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$2,161结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from sources including WeatherBug, local Chinese meteorological services, and WindBorne points to an overnight low near 21–24°C for Jinan on September 15 under clear to mostly clear skies and light southwest winds, well above the market’s leading 12–15°C cluster.**
Trader sentiment appears anchored in historical September averages (typical lows around 17–18°C) and the natural seasonal cooling trend as solar insolation declines, combined with uncertainty over the precise official station reading that resolves the market. Clear conditions favor radiative cooling overnight, yet the warm air mass and breezy flow limit the drop, while model consensus shows minimal disagreement on this stable pattern.
No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter temperatures sharply on this date. Upcoming official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive minimum, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C reflecting the balance between climatological baselines and the current warm anomaly.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,161结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Current forecast consensus from sources including WeatherBug, local Chinese meteorological services, and WindBorne points to an overnight low near 21–24°C for Jinan on September 15 under clear to mostly clear skies and light southwest winds, well above the market’s leading 12–15°C cluster.** Trader sentiment appears anchored in historical September averages (typical lows around 17–18°C) and the natural seasonal cooling trend as solar insolation declines, combined with uncertainty over the precise official station reading that resolves the market. Clear conditions favor radiative cooling overnight, yet the warm air mass and breezy flow limit the drop, while model consensus shows minimal disagreement on this stable pattern. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter temperatures sharply on this date. Upcoming official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive minimum, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C reflecting the balance between climatological baselines and the current warm anomaly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题