Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日香港最低气温？
9月14日香港最低气温？
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,649 交易量
$24,649 交易量
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,649 交易量
$24,649 交易量
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
$249 交易量
否
22°C
$754 交易量
否
23°C
$2,268 交易量
否
24°C
$4,051 交易量
否
25°C
$3,091 交易量
否
26°C
$5,839 交易量
是
27°C
$5,895 交易量
否
28°C
$1,818 交易量
否
29°C
$24 交易量
否
30°C
$618 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$40 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$24,649结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$24,649结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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