Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of 26°C on September 15, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects calm subtropical conditions typical for mid-September, with light winds, high humidity, and no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences to drive overnight cooling. Historical climatology shows average daily lows near 25–27°C during this period, supporting the observed value. Trader positioning solidified once preliminary station data became available, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an official data correction from the primary monitoring site or a redefinition of the measurement window could realistically alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日香港最低气温？
9月15日香港最低气温？
26℃ 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$13,490 交易量
$13,490 交易量
2026-09-15
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26℃
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
26℃ 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$13,490 交易量
$13,490 交易量
2026-09-15
21°C或以下
$182 交易量
否
22°C
$182 交易量
否
23°C
$1,296 交易量
否
24°C
$614 交易量
否
25°C
$1,421 交易量
否
26℃
$5,379 交易量
是
27°C
$3,101 交易量
否
28°C
$833 交易量
否
29°C
$138 交易量
否
30°C
$172 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$172 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of 26°C on September 15, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects calm subtropical conditions typical for mid-September, with light winds, high humidity, and no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences to drive overnight cooling. Historical climatology shows average daily lows near 25–27°C during this period, supporting the observed value. Trader positioning solidified once preliminary station data became available, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an official data correction from the primary monitoring site or a redefinition of the measurement window could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$13,490结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of 26°C on September 15, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects calm subtropical conditions typical for mid-September, with light winds, high humidity, and no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences to drive overnight cooling. Historical climatology shows average daily lows near 25–27°C during this period, supporting the observed value. Trader positioning solidified once preliminary station data became available, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an official data correction from the primary monitoring site or a redefinition of the measurement window could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,490结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of 26°C on September 15, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects calm subtropical conditions typical for mid-September, with light winds, high humidity, and no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences to drive overnight cooling. Historical climatology shows average daily lows near 25–27°C during this period, supporting the observed value. Trader positioning solidified once preliminary station data became available, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an official data correction from the primary monitoring site or a redefinition of the measurement window could realistically alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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