Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like GFS consensus show Shanghai under persistent northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover through September 17, supporting overnight lows in the 22–24 °C range. Current conditions on September 15 feature overcast skies and light northeast winds that limit radiational cooling, while the broader subtropical monsoon transition keeps daytime highs near 29 °C without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences. Ensemble guidance indicates minimal day-to-day variability in the short-range window, with cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture as the main variables that could shift the minimum by 1 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 22–24 °C outcomes because these align closely with the latest deterministic and ensemble runs, reflecting traders’ weighting of recent model consensus against historical mid-September climatology for the region.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日上海最低气温？
9月17日上海最低气温？
23°C 43%
22°C 32%
21°C 30%
27°C或更高 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
17°C或以下
21%
18°C
20%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
30%
22°C
32%
23°C
43%
24°C
20%
25°C
25%
26°C
19%
27°C或更高
28%
23°C 43%
22°C 32%
21°C 30%
27°C或更高 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$0 交易量
20%
19°C
$0 交易量
25%
20°C
$0 交易量
25%
21°C
$42 交易量
30%
22°C
$0 交易量
32%
23°C
$14 交易量
43%
24°C
$0 交易量
20%
25°C
$0 交易量
25%
26°C
$0 交易量
19%
27°C或更高
$0 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like GFS consensus show Shanghai under persistent northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover through September 17, supporting overnight lows in the 22–24 °C range. Current conditions on September 15 feature overcast skies and light northeast winds that limit radiational cooling, while the broader subtropical monsoon transition keeps daytime highs near 29 °C without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences. Ensemble guidance indicates minimal day-to-day variability in the short-range window, with cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture as the main variables that could shift the minimum by 1 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 22–24 °C outcomes because these align closely with the latest deterministic and ensemble runs, reflecting traders’ weighting of recent model consensus against historical mid-September climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$56结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like GFS consensus show Shanghai under persistent northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover through September 17, supporting overnight lows in the 22–24 °C range. Current conditions on September 15 feature overcast skies and light northeast winds that limit radiational cooling, while the broader subtropical monsoon transition keeps daytime highs near 29 °C without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences. Ensemble guidance indicates minimal day-to-day variability in the short-range window, with cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture as the main variables that could shift the minimum by 1 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 22–24 °C outcomes because these align closely with the latest deterministic and ensemble runs, reflecting traders’ weighting of recent model consensus against historical mid-September climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$56结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like GFS consensus show Shanghai under persistent northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover through September 17, supporting overnight lows in the 22–24 °C range. Current conditions on September 15 feature overcast skies and light northeast winds that limit radiational cooling, while the broader subtropical monsoon transition keeps daytime highs near 29 °C without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences. Ensemble guidance indicates minimal day-to-day variability in the short-range window, with cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture as the main variables that could shift the minimum by 1 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 22–24 °C outcomes because these align closely with the latest deterministic and ensemble runs, reflecting traders’ weighting of recent model consensus against historical mid-September climatology for the region.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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