**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent northeast winds, light rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure maintaining overnight lows in the mid-20s.** This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23°C (22.0%) and 25°C (18.0%) reflect typical model spread and minor timing variations in cooling. The elevated 23.5% on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger northerly flow or heavier overnight showers, though historical September climatology and recent observations favor milder conditions. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日上海最低气温？
9月18日上海最低气温？
19°C或以下 47%
24°C 44%
25°C 35%
26°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
19°C或以下
47%
20°C
27%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
22%
24°C
37%
25°C
35%
26°C
30%
27°C
24%
28°C
20%
29°C或更高
25%
19°C或以下 47%
24°C 44%
25°C 35%
26°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
47%
20°C
$0 交易量
27%
21°C
$0 交易量
28%
22°C
$0 交易量
28%
23°C
$42 交易量
22%
24°C
$146 交易量
37%
25°C
$0 交易量
35%
26°C
$0 交易量
30%
27°C
$0 交易量
24%
28°C
$0 交易量
20%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent northeast winds, light rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure maintaining overnight lows in the mid-20s.** This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23°C (22.0%) and 25°C (18.0%) reflect typical model spread and minor timing variations in cooling. The elevated 23.5% on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger northerly flow or heavier overnight showers, though historical September climatology and recent observations favor milder conditions. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$188结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent northeast winds, light rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure maintaining overnight lows in the mid-20s.** This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23°C (22.0%) and 25°C (18.0%) reflect typical model spread and minor timing variations in cooling. The elevated 23.5% on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger northerly flow or heavier overnight showers, though historical September climatology and recent observations favor milder conditions. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$188结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent northeast winds, light rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure maintaining overnight lows in the mid-20s.** This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23°C (22.0%) and 25°C (18.0%) reflect typical model spread and minor timing variations in cooling. The elevated 23.5% on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential stronger northerly flow or heavier overnight showers, though historical September climatology and recent observations favor milder conditions. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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