Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloudy skies and a 40-60% chance of light rain or thunderstorms over Wuhan on September 21, limiting daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C. Northerly winds near 5–10 km/h and elevated humidity near 70% further moderate peak temperatures, while historical September averages hover near 26–28°C. Model consensus shows tight spreads but divergence in exact timing of cloud breaks or showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日武汉气温最高?
26°C 30%
27°C 24%
25°C 24%
24°C或以下 14%
24°C或以下
14%
25°C
24%
26°C
30%
27°C
24%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃或以上
<1%
26°C 30%
27°C 24%
25°C 24%
24°C或以下 14%
24°C或以下
14%
25°C
24%
26°C
30%
27°C
24%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloudy skies and a 40-60% chance of light rain or thunderstorms over Wuhan on September 21, limiting daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C. Northerly winds near 5–10 km/h and elevated humidity near 70% further moderate peak temperatures, while historical September averages hover near 26–28°C. Model consensus shows tight spreads but divergence in exact timing of cloud breaks or showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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