**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 21, 2026, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 20–23°C.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northerly winds have moderated both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Official forecasts from multiple sources consistently project a low of 21–22.4°C under overcast skies and 30–50% rain probability, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions when monsoon remnants suppress temperature extremes. Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect model uncertainty in the precise timing of showers and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C depending on the observing station and exact hour of the low. New hourly observations and final daily summaries from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日武汉最低气温?
18°C或以下 99%
19°C 99%
20°C 99%
21°C 50%
18°C或以下
99%
19°C
99%
20°C
99%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
18°C或以下 99%
19°C 99%
20°C 99%
21°C 50%
18°C或以下
99%
19°C
99%
20°C
99%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 21, 2026, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 20–23°C.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northerly winds have moderated both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Official forecasts from multiple sources consistently project a low of 21–22.4°C under overcast skies and 30–50% rain probability, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions when monsoon remnants suppress temperature extremes. Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect model uncertainty in the precise timing of showers and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C depending on the observing station and exact hour of the low. New hourly observations and final daily summaries from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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