**Forecast models and observational data point to a minimum temperature in Wellington of 6–8°C on September 14, 2026, producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes.** A high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea has delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, promoting strong overnight radiative cooling under stable conditions with minimal cloud cover or mixing. This setup aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September minima average near 7°C. Slight variations in exact low readings across sources (6°C from some Met Office guidance versus 9°C in others) stem from differences in boundary-layer wind speeds, dew-point depression, and timing of the coldest hour before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time MetService observations will refine whether the low settles at 7–8°C or dips toward 6°C, keeping implied probabilities closely matched until resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日惠灵顿的最低温度？
9月14日惠灵顿的最低温度？
4°C或以下 90%
7°C 47%
6°C 47%
5°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
4°C或以下
90%
5°C
17%
6°C
47%
7°C
47%
8°C
53%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C或以上
<1%
4°C或以下 90%
7°C 47%
6°C 47%
5°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
5°C
$0 交易量
17%
6°C
$69 交易量
47%
7°C
$38 交易量
47%
8°C
$23 交易量
53%
9°C
$336 交易量
<1%
10°C
$700 交易量
<1%
11°C
$5 交易量
<1%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C或以上
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data point to a minimum temperature in Wellington of 6–8°C on September 14, 2026, producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes.** A high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea has delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, promoting strong overnight radiative cooling under stable conditions with minimal cloud cover or mixing. This setup aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September minima average near 7°C. Slight variations in exact low readings across sources (6°C from some Met Office guidance versus 9°C in others) stem from differences in boundary-layer wind speeds, dew-point depression, and timing of the coldest hour before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time MetService observations will refine whether the low settles at 7–8°C or dips toward 6°C, keeping implied probabilities closely matched until resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,281结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data point to a minimum temperature in Wellington of 6–8°C on September 14, 2026, producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes.** A high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea has delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, promoting strong overnight radiative cooling under stable conditions with minimal cloud cover or mixing. This setup aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September minima average near 7°C. Slight variations in exact low readings across sources (6°C from some Met Office guidance versus 9°C in others) stem from differences in boundary-layer wind speeds, dew-point depression, and timing of the coldest hour before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time MetService observations will refine whether the low settles at 7–8°C or dips toward 6°C, keeping implied probabilities closely matched until resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,281结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast models and observational data point to a minimum temperature in Wellington of 6–8°C on September 14, 2026, producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes.** A high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea has delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, promoting strong overnight radiative cooling under stable conditions with minimal cloud cover or mixing. This setup aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September minima average near 7°C. Slight variations in exact low readings across sources (6°C from some Met Office guidance versus 9°C in others) stem from differences in boundary-layer wind speeds, dew-point depression, and timing of the coldest hour before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time MetService observations will refine whether the low settles at 7–8°C or dips toward 6°C, keeping implied probabilities closely matched until resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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