Current ensemble forecasts indicate a Manila minimum near 25–26°C on September 14, shaped by persistent monsoon cloud cover, dew points of 24–26°C, and scattered thunderstorms that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and light variable winds further limit temperature drops, consistent with wet-season climatology where September overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to exact thunderstorm timing and coverage, creating the observed market balance between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes while centering probability near the 25–26°C cluster. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月14日马尼拉的最低温度？
30°C或更高 73%
20°C或以下 70%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
20°C或以下
70%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C或更高
73%
30°C或更高 73%
20°C或以下 70%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
70%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$20 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
25%
26°C
$0 交易量
30%
27°C
$0 交易量
39%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
39%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts indicate a Manila minimum near 25–26°C on September 14, shaped by persistent monsoon cloud cover, dew points of 24–26°C, and scattered thunderstorms that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and light variable winds further limit temperature drops, consistent with wet-season climatology where September overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to exact thunderstorm timing and coverage, creating the observed market balance between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes while centering probability near the 25–26°C cluster. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts indicate a Manila minimum near 25–26°C on September 14, shaped by persistent monsoon cloud cover, dew points of 24–26°C, and scattered thunderstorms that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and light variable winds further limit temperature drops, consistent with wet-season climatology where September overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to exact thunderstorm timing and coverage, creating the observed market balance between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes while centering probability near the 25–26°C cluster. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts indicate a Manila minimum near 25–26°C on September 14, shaped by persistent monsoon cloud cover, dew points of 24–26°C, and scattered thunderstorms that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and light variable winds further limit temperature drops, consistent with wet-season climatology where September overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to exact thunderstorm timing and coverage, creating the observed market balance between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes while centering probability near the 25–26°C cluster. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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