Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C for Manila’s September 13 minimum because persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 percent, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to suppress radiative cooling overnight. Tropical monsoon conditions and the urban heat island effect keep nighttime temperatures from dropping sharply, with official guidance pointing to lows near 25°C. Minor differences among numerical models on exact rain timing and wind shifts create the narrow spread in implied probabilities, while the low odds for sub-20°C outcomes align with climatological rarity in September. Updated regional forecasts tonight will clarify whether any clearing window allows a slightly cooler reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月13日马尼拉的最低温度？
29°C或更高 60%
19°C或更低 59%
20°C 40%
22°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
19°C或更低
59%
20°C
40%
21°C
8%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C
31%
26°C
28%
27°C
22%
28°C
40%
29°C或更高
60%
29°C或更高 60%
19°C或更低 59%
20°C 40%
22°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
19°C或更低
$0 交易量
59%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C
$79 交易量
40%
23°C
$62 交易量
22%
24°C
$0 交易量
23%
25°C
$5 交易量
31%
26°C
$0 交易量
28%
27°C
$40 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
40%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C for Manila’s September 13 minimum because persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 percent, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to suppress radiative cooling overnight. Tropical monsoon conditions and the urban heat island effect keep nighttime temperatures from dropping sharply, with official guidance pointing to lows near 25°C. Minor differences among numerical models on exact rain timing and wind shifts create the narrow spread in implied probabilities, while the low odds for sub-20°C outcomes align with climatological rarity in September. Updated regional forecasts tonight will clarify whether any clearing window allows a slightly cooler reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$185结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C for Manila’s September 13 minimum because persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 percent, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to suppress radiative cooling overnight. Tropical monsoon conditions and the urban heat island effect keep nighttime temperatures from dropping sharply, with official guidance pointing to lows near 25°C. Minor differences among numerical models on exact rain timing and wind shifts create the narrow spread in implied probabilities, while the low odds for sub-20°C outcomes align with climatological rarity in September. Updated regional forecasts tonight will clarify whether any clearing window allows a slightly cooler reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$185结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETTrader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C for Manila’s September 13 minimum because persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90 percent, and scattered thunderstorms are expected to suppress radiative cooling overnight. Tropical monsoon conditions and the urban heat island effect keep nighttime temperatures from dropping sharply, with official guidance pointing to lows near 25°C. Minor differences among numerical models on exact rain timing and wind shifts create the narrow spread in implied probabilities, while the low odds for sub-20°C outcomes align with climatological rarity in September. Updated regional forecasts tonight will clarify whether any clearing window allows a slightly cooler reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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