The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently driving moderate to heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila is the main factor keeping trader odds nearly even between a 20°C-or-below minimum (42.5%) and 30°C-or-higher (41.5%) on September 11. Persistent rain and overcast skies from this system typically suppress both daytime maxima and overnight radiative cooling, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–25°C amid 80% rain probability. Historical September lows in Manila average 25–26°C, though stronger monsoon episodes can shave 1–2°C lower without reaching the extremes priced in the market. Fresh model runs and the next PAGASA extended outlook will likely tighten the range as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月11日马尼拉的最低温度？
20°C或以下 93%
30°C或更高 80%
23°C 40%
21°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
20°C或以下
93%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
40%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
20%
27°C
37%
28°C
37%
29°C
37%
30°C或更高
80%
20°C或以下 93%
30°C或更高 80%
23°C 40%
21°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
93%
21°C
$0 交易量
37%
22°C
$0 交易量
37%
23°C
$0 交易量
40%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
25%
26°C
$0 交易量
20%
27°C
$0 交易量
37%
28°C
$0 交易量
37%
29°C
$0 交易量
37%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently driving moderate to heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila is the main factor keeping trader odds nearly even between a 20°C-or-below minimum (42.5%) and 30°C-or-higher (41.5%) on September 11. Persistent rain and overcast skies from this system typically suppress both daytime maxima and overnight radiative cooling, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–25°C amid 80% rain probability. Historical September lows in Manila average 25–26°C, though stronger monsoon episodes can shave 1–2°C lower without reaching the extremes priced in the market. Fresh model runs and the next PAGASA extended outlook will likely tighten the range as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently driving moderate to heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila is the main factor keeping trader odds nearly even between a 20°C-or-below minimum (42.5%) and 30°C-or-higher (41.5%) on September 11. Persistent rain and overcast skies from this system typically suppress both daytime maxima and overnight radiative cooling, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–25°C amid 80% rain probability. Historical September lows in Manila average 25–26°C, though stronger monsoon episodes can shave 1–2°C lower without reaching the extremes priced in the market. Fresh model runs and the next PAGASA extended outlook will likely tighten the range as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThe southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently driving moderate to heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila is the main factor keeping trader odds nearly even between a 20°C-or-below minimum (42.5%) and 30°C-or-higher (41.5%) on September 11. Persistent rain and overcast skies from this system typically suppress both daytime maxima and overnight radiative cooling, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–25°C amid 80% rain probability. Historical September lows in Manila average 25–26°C, though stronger monsoon episodes can shave 1–2°C lower without reaching the extremes priced in the market. Fresh model runs and the next PAGASA extended outlook will likely tighten the range as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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