**Mild overnight conditions driven by southerly flow and limited radiative cooling currently anchor trader sentiment for Warsaw’s September 9 minimum temperature.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and ICON show the overnight low settling between roughly 16–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, with daytime maxima climbing to 28–30 °C amid strengthening southwesterly winds. Recent model runs indicate modest spread around the exact minimum, reflecting small differences in cloud cover and the timing of a possible wind shift or light shower by evening, which keeps probabilities for extremes (≥21 °C or ≤11 °C) nearly even despite the central tendency near 16–18 °C. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical overnight lows near 10–12 °C, so the current warmer pattern supports the observed clustering of market-implied odds around mid-teens values while leaving room for last-minute forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日华沙最低气温？
9月9日华沙最低气温？
11℃或以下 79%
21°C或更高 78%
16°C 31%
17°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
11℃或以下
79%
12°C
15%
13°C
16%
14°C
15%
15°C
21%
16°C
31%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C或更高
78%
11℃或以下 79%
21°C或更高 78%
16°C 31%
17°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
11℃或以下
$12 交易量
79%
12°C
$12 交易量
15%
13°C
$0 交易量
16%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C
$0 交易量
21%
16°C
$0 交易量
31%
17°C
$0 交易量
28%
18°C
$0 交易量
26%
19°C
$0 交易量
18%
20°C
$0 交易量
16%
21°C或更高
$31 交易量
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions driven by southerly flow and limited radiative cooling currently anchor trader sentiment for Warsaw’s September 9 minimum temperature.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and ICON show the overnight low settling between roughly 16–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, with daytime maxima climbing to 28–30 °C amid strengthening southwesterly winds. Recent model runs indicate modest spread around the exact minimum, reflecting small differences in cloud cover and the timing of a possible wind shift or light shower by evening, which keeps probabilities for extremes (≥21 °C or ≤11 °C) nearly even despite the central tendency near 16–18 °C. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical overnight lows near 10–12 °C, so the current warmer pattern supports the observed clustering of market-implied odds around mid-teens values while leaving room for last-minute forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$55结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions driven by southerly flow and limited radiative cooling currently anchor trader sentiment for Warsaw’s September 9 minimum temperature.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and ICON show the overnight low settling between roughly 16–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, with daytime maxima climbing to 28–30 °C amid strengthening southwesterly winds. Recent model runs indicate modest spread around the exact minimum, reflecting small differences in cloud cover and the timing of a possible wind shift or light shower by evening, which keeps probabilities for extremes (≥21 °C or ≤11 °C) nearly even despite the central tendency near 16–18 °C. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical overnight lows near 10–12 °C, so the current warmer pattern supports the observed clustering of market-implied odds around mid-teens values while leaving room for last-minute forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Mild overnight conditions driven by southerly flow and limited radiative cooling currently anchor trader sentiment for Warsaw’s September 9 minimum temperature.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and ICON show the overnight low settling between roughly 16–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, with daytime maxima climbing to 28–30 °C amid strengthening southwesterly winds. Recent model runs indicate modest spread around the exact minimum, reflecting small differences in cloud cover and the timing of a possible wind shift or light shower by evening, which keeps probabilities for extremes (≥21 °C or ≤11 °C) nearly even despite the central tendency near 16–18 °C. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical overnight lows near 10–12 °C, so the current warmer pattern supports the observed clustering of market-implied odds around mid-teens values while leaving room for last-minute forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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