Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin indicates overnight lows on September 9 clustered in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures around 76–79°F at official stations, consistent with the market’s closely bunched leading outcomes near 74–79°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 70°F, but the current warm advection and high heat-index regime have kept readings several degrees above normal. Traders weigh small model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and any late-evening cloud increases that could nudge the exact minimum, with resolution hinging on the official Austin-Bergstrom observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日奥斯汀最低气温？
9月9日奥斯汀最低气温？
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 29%
72-73°F 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
69°F或更低
6%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88°F或更高
1%
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 29%
72-73°F 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
69°F或更低
$48 交易量
6%
70-71°F
$153 交易量
6%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
25%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
31%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
32%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
29%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
22%
82-83°F
$37 交易量
13%
84-85°F
$50 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$72 交易量
4%
88°F或更高
$79 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin indicates overnight lows on September 9 clustered in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures around 76–79°F at official stations, consistent with the market’s closely bunched leading outcomes near 74–79°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 70°F, but the current warm advection and high heat-index regime have kept readings several degrees above normal. Traders weigh small model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and any late-evening cloud increases that could nudge the exact minimum, with resolution hinging on the official Austin-Bergstrom observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$439结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin indicates overnight lows on September 9 clustered in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures around 76–79°F at official stations, consistent with the market’s closely bunched leading outcomes near 74–79°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 70°F, but the current warm advection and high heat-index regime have kept readings several degrees above normal. Traders weigh small model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and any late-evening cloud increases that could nudge the exact minimum, with resolution hinging on the official Austin-Bergstrom observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$439结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin indicates overnight lows on September 9 clustered in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures around 76–79°F at official stations, consistent with the market’s closely bunched leading outcomes near 74–79°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 70°F, but the current warm advection and high heat-index regime have kept readings several degrees above normal. Traders weigh small model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and any late-evening cloud increases that could nudge the exact minimum, with resolution hinging on the official Austin-Bergstrom observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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